Monday, 13 April 2026

This blockade may not weaken the China-Iran bonhomie. It provides more incentives to lock it in.

 https://x.com/globalsarang/status/2043369814752915683

The US just made a massive bet — and it could backfire spectacularly. By blockading the Strait of Hormuz, Washington thinks China will hurt more and pressure Iran to fold. The math: Iran supplies 12-13% of China's oil demand. But here's what they missed: This blockade may not weaken the China-Iran bonhomie. It provides more incentives to lock it in. Beijing now sees this crisis exactly as it is evolving to be: a US-China proxy conflict fought through energy access. Why would China pressure Iran when America just proved it's the real threat to Chinese energy security? The whole world is being held hostage to this game of chicken. And the worst part? Even if the US "wins," Americans lose too. Welcome to the might-is-right world neither superpower can afford.

https://x.com/globalsarang/status/2043369814752915683

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