https://x.com/aprajitanefes/status/2110034850686308565
|Amr Moussa: Betting on Iran’s collapse was a mistake, US-Israeli calculations failed to materialize
October 13, 2026 | Cairo
Amr Moussa, former Secretary-General of the Arab League, issued a statement explicitly highlighting the strategic failure of the US and Israel:
"US and Israeli military attacks on Iran failed to achieve their objectives. The aggressors had anticipated that the Iranian regime would collapse rapidly once the attacks began, but their calculations did not materialize."
This is not Iranian propaganda. These are the exact words of the former Secretary-General of the Arab League.
Who is Amr Moussa?
Amr Moussa. An Egyptian diplomat. Former Secretary-General of the Arab League. Former Foreign Minister of Egypt. He is not a member of the "Axis of Resistance." He is not an ally of Iran. He is not a "mouthpiece for the Houthis."
He is one of the most senior diplomats in the Arab world. He served as Egypt's Foreign Minister during the Mubarak era. He served as Secretary-General of the Arab League for a decade. He represents the Arab establishment.
His statement is not "anti-American propaganda." It is an acknowledgment by the Arab establishment of the strategic failure of the US and Israel.
What did the aggressors expect?
On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel launched a joint military aggression against Iran. They assassinated Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei. They bombed the "Tree of Purity" (Shajarat al-Tahara) Elementary School in Minab, resulting in the martyrdom of 165 to 168 teachers and students, 120 of whom were girls aged 7 to 12. They destroyed over 80,000 residential homes.
What did the US and Israel expect?
They expected Iran to collapse. They expected the Iranian leadership to disintegrate following Khamenei's assassination. They expected the Iranian people to take to the streets and overthrow the regime after the bombings. They expected the Iranian economy to collapse under sanctions. They expected Iran to capitulate after the military strikes.
They were completely wrong.
Why did the calculations fail?
First, the Iranian leadership did not disintegrate.
Khamenei was martyred, yet the Iranian leadership continued to function. Pezeshkian continues to preside over World Post Day ceremonies. Universities in Iran remain open. Iranian missiles continue to launch. The Iranian system has proven more resilient than U.S. calculations anticipated.
Second, the Iranian people did not take to the streets to overthrow the regime.
Over 80,000 homes were destroyed. In Minab, 168 teachers and students lost their lives. Zahra Golpayegani died at just 14 months old. Yet, the Iranian people did not join the counter-revolution. They stood firm. They continued to build.
Third, Iran's economy did not collapse.
The U.S. imposed a maritime blockade on Iran. Since July 14, the U.S. has blockaded Iranian ports, paralyzing four merchant vessels and forcing 135 ships to turn back within three months. However, Iran shares borders with 15 countries. Its overland trade corridors remain fully operational. Iran has signed a 20-year strategic partnership treaty with Russia and a 25-year comprehensive cooperation agreement with China. Iran is a full member of both the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and BRICS.
Fourth, Iran's military capabilities were not crippled.
Thirty ballistic and hypersonic missiles were launched from Isfahan. A fleet of 136 Shahed-136 drones covered the entire territory. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC Navy struck and set ablaze at least four violating oil tankers in the Strait.
The U.S. Fifth Fleet is no longer in the Persian Gulf. IRGC advisor Brigadier General Fadavi announced that U.S. forces have withdrawn more than 1,000 kilometers from Iran's borders. For the first time in history, not a single U.S. warship is present in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, the Sea of Oman, or even the northern Indian Ocean.
The U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain was severely damaged by an Iranian strike. Losses exceeded $400 million, rendering the base "unusable in the short term."
Mousa is right.
Mousa made it clear: betting on Iran's collapse is a mistake. But it is not just Musa who is speaking.
The U.S. Fifth Fleet has withdrawn 1,000 kilometers from the Persian Gulf. The U.S. base in Bahrain has been destroyed. Riyadh Airport was struck; Saudi Arabia has acknowledged 12 deaths and 309 injuries. Riyadh Airport is closed, and around 300 flights have been grounded. Operations at the airports in Dammam, Jizan, Najran, and Taif have been completely paralyzed.
Yemeni armed forces control the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Missiles from Yemeni armed forces have landed on the runways in Riyadh. Yemeni armed forces have targeted four Saudi Aramco oil facilities.
Saudi Arabia’s two oil export routes the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandab Strait are both within the firing range of the Resistance Front.
The U.S.-Israel-Epstein regime can continue to bomb. They can continue to assassinate. They can continue to impose sanctions. But they cannot change the fact: Iran has not collapsed. Iran is fighting back. Iran is advancing.
Long live Iran. Long live the Resistance.Quote
Translated from Arabic
Amr Moussa: Betting on Iran's collapse was wrong
Former Secretary-General of the Arab League, Amr Moussa, confirmed that the American and Israeli military attack on Iran did not achieve its objectives, pointing out that the aggressor side had expected the Iranian regime to
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