Friday, 29 May 2026

Self-Engineered Decay: Why Israel’s Political Collapse Cannot Be Separated from Its War Crimes

 

by | May 29, 2026 | 0 Comments

For those unfamiliar with the intricate machinery of Israeli politics, the unanimous 110-0 vote to dissolve the Knesset on May 20 appears to be an earth-shattering event. On the surface, it looks as if the days of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his coalition of far-right extremists are numbered. The reality, however, is far more complex.

Israel’s current political implosion is fundamentally tied to its failure to escape the ghosts of October 7. When the country’s military defenses collapsed on that day, Israel was transformed from a state with a formidable reputation as an invincible regional superpower into one trapped with a struggling army, structurally incapable of decisively winning a single war.

Since the launch of the devastating genocide in Gaza, neither the Israeli government nor the military establishment has been able to answer two fundamental questions:

One, how did the world’s self-proclaimed “invincible army” collapse in a matter of hours, leaving the entire Southern Command – whose sole job was to keep Gazans besieged – in total shambles?

Two, why has that same heavily funded military machine failed to achieve a decisive victory despite the near-total destruction of the Strip and the unprecedented slaughter and wounding of much of its population?

Complicating the matter is Benjamin Netanyahu’s pathological refusal to honestly investigate either the October 7 intelligence failure or the subsequent conduct of the Gaza war. Instead, he focused entirely on domestic damage control and image management, aggressively marginalizing or firing intelligence official, or high-ranking bureaucrats who challenged his narrative. Rather than pursuing a viable exit strategy, Netanyahu treated the defense apparatus as a public relations shield.

Consequently, opposition voices – initially led by Yair Lapid and his Yesh Atid party – began demanding Netanyahu’s resignation and snap elections. What began as predictable political fallout quickly evolved into a sweeping popular movement.

Public confidence in the government continues to plummet. Recent opinion polls consistently show that a vast majority of Israelis believe Netanyahu acts out of personal political survival rather than national interest. Data suggests that if elections were held today, his right-wing bloc would suffer a catastrophic defeat at the hands of a newly consolidated opposition – namely Beyachad (‘Together’), the newly formed unified list established by Naftali Bennett and Lapid.

Netanyahu, whose legacy as Israel’s longest-serving prime minister is now defined by strategic failure, subsists in a profound personal and political crisis. His deliberate escalations of regional conflict served no distinct military purpose; instead, they merely highlighted his desperation, turning his rhetorical pledges of “total victory” into a hollow attempt to prevent his coalition from fracturing.

Meanwhile, National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich exploited Netanyahu’s vulnerability to advance their own extremist agendas. Bent on rapid colonial expansion, they accelerated West Bank annexation, pushed draconian laws to execute Palestinian prisoners, and tightened the siege on occupied East Jerusalem.

Under normal circumstances, the sheer scale of the domestic, economic, and diplomatic harm engineered by this coalition should have removed it from power. Yet Netanyahu survived by exploiting deep social fractures and relying on unconditional support from Washington.

This survival shield was further fortified by the initial impotence of a fragmented political opposition and a perpetual wartime atmosphere that Netanyahu cultivated to freeze dissent. Not even his corruption trials derailed his career; he adapted state institutions into instruments of personal survival.

Yet the ultimate irony of Israeli politics is that pressure came not from mounting casualties or international isolation, but from compulsory military conscription of the ultra-Orthodox, or Haredim.

For decades, secular Israelis complained about the sweeping draft exemptions granted to yeshiva students, but the political elite routinely shrugged it off as a secondary culture war that could be managed via backroom political dealings.

Israel’s overextended, multi-front war of attrition completely smashed that equilibrium. The issue was violently pushed back to the surface because the military quite literally ran out of bodies. The true gravity of this manpower crisis was exposed when the army Chief of Staff, Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, explicitly broke ranks during a closed-door security cabinet meeting to warn that “the IDF is going to collapse in on itself.”

Zamir reportedly raised “ten red flags” before the political leadership, stating bluntly that after months of intensive combat across Gaza, the northern border, and regional theaters, the military was facing an immediate, unsustainable deficit of over 12,000 combat soldiers.

For over two years, Netanyahu postponed a legal verdict on the Haredi draft. But mounting military setbacks, particularly on the Lebanese front, made further delays impossible.

The opposition seeks elections while Netanyahu engages in legislative theater, using loyalists and parliamentary procedures to slow the process.

 

Yet this political drama is secondary to the deeper crisis. No coalition maneuvering can salvage a state facing structural decline. Nothing will heal Israel’s fractures until it confronts the root cause of its crisis: endless, unwinnable military campaigns that have devastated Gaza and the wider region.

The crisis engulfing Israel is self-inflicted – and there can be no lasting peace until the state’s deep-seated criminality and ongoing genocide and wars against Palestinians and the wider Arab world come to an end.

Dr. Ramzy Baroud is a journalist, author and the Editor of The Palestine Chronicle. He is the author of six books. His forthcoming book, Before the Flood,’ will be published by Seven Stories Press. His other books include ‘Our Vision for Liberation’, ‘My Father was a Freedom Fighter’ and ‘The Last Earth’. Baroud is a Non-resident Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Islam and Global Affairs (CIGA). His website is www.ramzybaroud.net

https://original.antiwar.com/ramzy-baroud/2026/05/28/self-engineered-decay-why-israels-political-collapse-cannot-be-separated-from-its-war-crimes/

Israeli officials are now privately urging the Trump administration to completely abandon Iran negotiations, assassinate Iran's lead negotiator Ghalibaf, and immediately restart strikes targeting Iran's oil and energy infrastructure to trigger "regime change"

 https://x.com/HormuzLetter/status/2060147367282680182

BREAKING: Israeli officials are now privately urging the Trump administration to completely abandon Iran negotiations, assassinate Iran's lead negotiator Ghalibaf, and immediately restart strikes targeting Iran's oil and energy infrastructure to trigger "regime change" in Tehran, while not caring about the massive impact of the expected Iranian retaliation on Gulf energy infrastructure, per a classified US intelligence assessment. Trump has already privately been backing away from the deal since Sunday under "extreme internal pressure from Israel and its US domestic allies," urging him not to accept Iran's terms, per sources close to his negotiation team. Based on this, an Iranian official is saying Iran has absolute "zero trust" in Trump and the US word in any agreement, adding it "cannot regard Trump's decision as definitively finalized until the financial markets close at the end of this week," with the concern Trump will formally end the deal and restart strikes at the last moment.

https://x.com/HormuzLetter/status/2060147367282680182

Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu Says That Strait Of Hormuz Shutdown Is Good For Tel AvivIsraeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu Says That Strait Of Hormuz Shutdown Is Good For Tel Aviv

 https://x.com/MintPressNews/status/2060071196599685380

MintPress News
Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu Says That Strait Of Hormuz Shutdown Is Good For Tel Aviv He explains that this will enable the sale of gas by the Israeli regime, which will begin working as one of the replacement to Persian Gulf energy supplies. Meanwhile, the world suffers the consequences of the war that Israel started.

https://x.com/MintPressNews/status/2060071196599685380

The Ukraine Conflict End State? – by English Outsider

 by English Outsider 

lifted from a comment

Russia will just overwhelm Ukraine and then install a puppet government to ensure it remains as a neutral buffer between Russia and Europe/NATO. This could go on for some more years, or maybe Russia will speed things up, surprise everyone, and make it happen sooner.

Posted by: aelfwed | May 28 2026 0:24 utc | 52

Yes, the end state of remnant Ukraine will be along those lines, though precisely how it’ll be done is unclear and is still maybe unclear to the Russians themselves.  Friendly state  (unlikely), neutral state, puppet state or occupied territory.  The last decidedly the worst case for the Russians and they’ll avoid it if they can.  Also, of course, the worst case for remnant Ukraine.

The position has changed, however, since the early Istanbul negotiations.  Paramount now is the Russian need to prevent remnant Ukraine being used by the West for attacks into Russia.  These have increased greatly in scale and intensity over the last few years and there is no indication that these attacks will cease unless remnant Ukraine is neutralised in one of the ways set out above.

This is not some rarefied “geostrategic theory” for the analysts to mull over. It is an urgent practical necessity for the Putin administration.  How long would any American administration last if the American President had to say to his voters “We’re getting sabotage and assassination missions run in against us from Mexico.  Drones and missiles are still coming over.  There’s not a lot we can do to close these attacks down entirely so we’re going to have to put up with them for the indefinite future.”   Impossibly to imagine an American President saying that and similarly impossible for any Russian President.  So the Russians do have to aim for an end state to this conflict that precludes, permanently and entirely, any such threat on their Western border emanating from remnant Ukraine.

This imperative takes precedence over any other Russian goals.  Maybe they’ll get their “new European Security Architecture”, maybe they won’t.  Maybe they’ll come to some accommodation with the US, maybe they won’t.  But if they don’t solve the problem posed to them by the Western use of remnant Ukraine as a convenient base for mounting attacks into Russia, their entire Special Military Operation will have gone for nothing.  They’ll be ending up precisely where they started from in February 2022.  They will have been defeated.

Since the Russians can’t be forced to accept what would be to them an entirely unsatisfactory outcome, they won’t.  They can’t be forced by economic or diplomatic means, certainly not by military means, to accept defeat.  So the end state for remnant Ukraine will inevitably be as set out.  Friendly state, neutral state, puppet state or Russian-occupied.  Any one of those results will preclude the hostile use of remnant Ukraine by the West and one of those results will be what we see at the end of this war.

…………………………

The above is not speculation or theory.  It’s what’s going to happen.  But is it permissible, in a comment section, to engage in hopeful speculation?

Because there’s always something new coming up.  What seemed a very remote possibility indeed a couple of years ago is now perhaps a little less remote: that the people of remnant Ukraine themselves will finally understand that they’ve been used by the West, used as a mere counter in the Western/Russian conflict, and mercilessly used to an extent now resulting in their destruction.  Here on “b’s” site Jeremy Rhymings-Lang, and often others, are charting the change in public opinion in Ukraine in detail and it does look as if that change might be gathering force.

We don’t know how much of the old Ukraine is going to end up as remnant Ukraine.  Nothing like as much as would have been the case had the Istanbul negotiations succeeded.  But that outside chance, that the Ukrainians themselves will say, “a curse on both your houses,” and themselves prevent the use made of them by the West as a convenient Western attack dog, might just possibly be there.

It should never be forgotten that in 2019 the Ukrainians themselves voted by a landslide majority for just that course.  In the intervening years the savagery of war, the increasing grip of the extremists on power, the unremitting efforts by the Wester powers to “keep Ukraine in the fight”, and the heroic obstinacy of the Ukrainians themselves, has seemed to rule that 2019 decision out.  The chance is still there.

End of hopeful speculation.  But given that the end state of remnant Ukraine is inevitable, it’d be good if that’s how that end state was arrived at.


b here:

My hunch is that whatever will be left of Ukraine, twenty years from now, will end up similar to Georgia. A country that has opted for a kind of neutrality while it is doing good business with its large Russian neighbor.  It does so, against the wishes of Brussels, Washington and their paid for ‘nationalists’, because it makes sense.


The Atlantic dropped a headline this week and it stings: "Trump failed to deliver on his Iran bluster, and in the end fooled only himself."

 https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2060071356373618820

🇮🇷🇺🇸 The Atlantic dropped a headline this week and it stings: "Trump failed to deliver on his Iran bluster, and in the end fooled only himself." And when you look at what actually happened, it kind of lands. He went in demanding unconditional surrender, spent years calling every president from Carter to Biden stupid for not being tougher on Iran, and then started the war they all had the sense to avoid. Every single one of them made the same call, that a full scale war with Iran wasn't worth it. Trump called that weakness. He went anyway. Now he's at a negotiating table cutting a deal that meets more of Tehran's demands than Washington's. The regime change goal didn't happen. Iran replaced Khamenei with a hardliner Khamenei, one who is reportedly even more committed to the nuclear program. That's a catastrophic outcome when your whole pitch was breaking the regime. When the quick collapse didn't come, Trump had no plan B. The rationale shifted every few weeks, nuclear weapons, then terrorism, then ballistic missiles, like he was picking reasons off a menu. The economy tells the rest of the story. Gas above $4 for nearly 60 days. The SPR drained by 50 million barrels in two months, faster than Biden ever managed, the same reserve Trump hammered Biden for touching. The gap between what he promised and what happened is the whole story. Source: The Atlantic

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2060071356373618820