Tuesday, 4 August 2026

The Strait of Hormuz deal Iran can't accept

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2084529769111294130

đŸ‡źđŸ‡·đŸ‡ș🇾 The Strait of Hormuz deal Iran can't accept On paper, it sounds like a compromise: Iran controls ships entering the Persian Gulf, while Oman controls ships leaving. Everyone gets half... except they don't, because in the Strait of Hormuz, the exit lane is where the real power lies. The tankers leaving the Gulf are loaded with the energy that keeps the global economy running. Threaten those ships, and oil prices can surge overnight. Threaten empty tankers sailing in, and the impact is slower, weaker, and far less certain. That's why Tehran has consistently pushed for authority over both directions of traffic. An inbound-only arrangement would strip away its most powerful bargaining chip. Also, loaded vessels already inside the Gulf could continue sailing under an open outbound lane. Export terminals could keep operating using ships already in the system. Only weeks later, when empty tankers failed to return, would exports begin to slow. Markets don't panic over delays; they panic over immediate supply shocks. Iran understands that, so do traders and governments. There's another problem: Iran also exports its own oil. Handing effective control of the outbound lane to Oman would leave Tehran relying on a neighbor whose security relationships are far closer to Washington and the Gulf monarchies than to Iran. For a country that views control of Hormuz as a pillar of national security, that's a strategic concession few leaders could justify. This isn't simply about collecting transit fees or conducting inspections; it's about leverage. Control over outbound traffic gives Iran the ability to influence global energy markets, raise shipping costs, pressure foreign governments, and strengthen its negotiating position during crises. Inbound-only control transforms that leverage from an immediate weapon into a delayed inconvenience. That is a trade Tehran has little incentive to make. Writer: Ian

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2084529769111294130

Why Israel is a friend of budding autocrats around the world

As global public opinion turns against Tel Aviv, the Netanyahu regime is ramping up its electoral meddling, from Europe to South America

have spent more than a decade investigating the Israeli arms and surveillance industries, and have always understood that the Israeli state is far more involved than it publicly admits. 

The revolving door between the public and private sector is well-known, but how exactly did some of the biggest Israeli companies achieve such incredible access to governments around the world, from Saudi Arabia to Ethiopia?

Beyond Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s spyware diplomacy - a highly effective way to make friends, by offering sophisticated tools to spy on perceived enemies, journalists, human rights workers and even friends - there were always gaps in our knowledge. 

But a recent revelation provides a window into how it happened. In 2013, Shalev Hulio - one of the founders of NSO Group, which developed the phone spyware Pegasus - travelled to Panama on an Israeli diplomatic passport and stayed at the Israeli embassy. 

The vital reporting by the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project and two other media outlets found that Hulio was central to NSO Group’s sale of Pegasus to Panama in 2012, and that he signed the contract with the Panamanian government. 

“Panamanian migration records obtained by reporters show Hulio arrived at Tocumen airport in Panama City from the U.S. on a Copa Airlines flight on December 3, 2013, and used a diplomatic passport to enter the country. The records state Hulio’s visit was for ‘recreation’ and list his profession as ‘diplomat,’” the report notes.

This piece of the puzzle confirms part of a story that has been hard to pin down with documents, and not just conjecture: NSO Group and many other Israeli arms and surveillance firms operate as an arm of the Israeli state, advancing its interests, biases and agendas - and operating with its full protection.

Political leverage

The vast treasure trove of information that has been gathered by NSO Group and other like-minded firms is incalculable, as they are the ones extracting data from mobile phones (as opposed to the paying clients). 

It’s thus inevitable that NSO Group, and by extension the Israeli government, have gathered information and secrets that could be used for political leverage on any number of countries. This is one way that Israel maintains such significant diplomatic leverage. 

The story about spyware and hacking battles over the last decade, and Israel’s central place within them, has not gone away. Israeli spying tools continue to be used against unsuspecting politicians, journalists and activists.

A rampaging Israeli government wants to make friends in the international community, as public opinion turns against it in an unprecedented way

From the European Parliament to Russia, the lack of regulation in the industry has allowed it to metastasize without restraint. But the threat of cyber-tools like Pegasus seems relatively minor when compared with the explosion of Israeli election interference around the globe. 

From Scotland to France, and Colombia to Honduras, Israeli companies are deploying the dark arts to push for pro-Israel candidates to win. This includes massive bot farms, spreading disinformation about pro-Palestinian candidates, and manipulating social media. As with the spyware industry, the world responds with paralysis and fear.

This is an issue that goes to the heart of democracy and the viability of its existence. Israeli electoral manipulation services are for sale to the highest bidder, and they’re already twisting what we know and understand about the very essence of free and fair elections. 

Destabilisation campaigns

Take Latin America, a region that’s experiencing a wave of Israeli-led disruption campaigns. Earlier this year, a story surfaced about alleged collaboration among the Trump administration, the Netanyahu regime, and former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez, who was sentenced in the US in 2024 on massive drug-related charges - and pardoned the following year. 

The plan? Destabilise “unfriendly” governments and aim to install pro-Israel and pro-US elements to undermine left-wingers, from Colombia to Mexico (the former campaign has already been successful, with the recent win of president-elect Abelardo de la Espriella). 

Brazil may be next, with presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro - son of the previous president, Jair Bolsonaro - launching his campaign with an endorsement from Netanyahu. 

How Israel sabotages democracy in the Middle East
Read More »

It’s fair to presume that Israeli electoral hackers will be working night and day to assist the Bolsonaro campaign and sabotage Brazilian President Luiz ‌Inacio Lula da Silva in the run-up to the October general election.

Honduras once again appears to be a central point around which Israeli and American far-right pressures are being applied; the country is reportedly willing to give control of military bases and special economic zones to Israel and the US. 

All of this is occurring while Israel is experiencing its biggest collapse in support in its history. This is a historic change - one that could well impact western politics in the coming years. But right now, Palestine is being trampled and erased, from Gaza to the occupied West Bank

It’s hard to convey the scale of the displacement, violence and fear among Palestinians. This is the Israeli state on steroids, sensing a once-in-a-generation opportunity to remove as many Palestinians from their land as possible, making way for a truly Jewish supremacist and rabbinical state. 

In this context, it makes sense that a rampaging Israeli government wants to make friends in the international community, as public opinion turns against it in an unprecedented way. Electoral manipulation might seem like a desperate move from a nation on the edge, but in reality it represents an acceleration of Israel as a reliable, autocratic ally - one that proudly discriminates against minorities and Palestinians, and inspires the surging far right in the process.

The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye.

Antony Loewenstein is an independent journalist, best–selling author, filmmaker and co–founder of Declassified Australia. He's written for the Guardian, the New York Times, the New York Review of Books and many others. His latest book is The Palestine Laboratory: How Israel Exports the Technology of Occupation Around the World. His other books include Pills, Powder and Smoke, Disaster Capitalism and My Israel Question. His documentary films include Disaster Capitalism and the Al Jazeera English films West Africa's Opioid Crisis and Under the Cover of Covid. He was based in East Jerusalem from 2016 to 2020.'

https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/why-israel-friend-budding-autocrats-around-world?utm_source=x&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=Social_Traffic&utm_content=ap_vykmx98uyw

The Machine That Hunted Palestinians in the 1970s Is Hunting Their Allies Today

 

 Israel once relied on secret intelligence-sharing to hunt down Palestinians across Europe. Something similar is being used now against those who support them as it carries out its genocide in Gaza.

by | Aug 3, 2026 | 12 Comments

Locked up in a cell in Madrid since his arrest on July 10, 2026, the well-known left-wing philanthropist Fergie Chambers is waiting to learn whether Spain will hand him to Washington. According to a US indictment, his crime was moving $7.5 million – money he raised, his family says, after selling his stake in Cox Enterprises and walking away from a quarter-billion-dollar inheritance – some of which funded legal defense for activists and humanitarian aid for Palestinians in Gaza. He has been denied bail and, his supporters say, denied contact with the outside world. Stella Schnabel, his partner, has said he faces “political persecution,” telling the Irish Times: “Fergie is being jailed because he uses his wealth to support Palestine and those suffering genocide in Gaza.” Ghassan Abu-Sittah, the British-Palestinian surgeon who now serves as rector of the University of Glasgow, has said Chambers’ funding was vital to the care of wounded children in Gaza.

Six days later, on July 16, 2026, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stood before representatives of more than 60 governments and gave the arrangement a name: a coordinated push against what he called “far-left political terrorism,” with intelligence sharing at its center, backed by border controls he defended as public safety and financial disruption dressed as counterterrorism.

This machinery, of course, is nothing new. In 1969, Switzerland, Britain, France and West Germany were among the founding members of a secret intelligence-liaison forum called the Club de Berne, joined eventually by the United States and Israel. By 1971 a daily communications channel had been set up between the member states, code-named Kilowatt. Aviva Guttmann’s research into declassified Swiss archives shows what became of this secret channel.

Mossad’s European Murder Spree

Mossad’s infamous campaign of assassinations began after the killing of 11 Israeli athletes and coaches at the 1972 Munich Olympics by the Palestinian Black September group. Teams of killers were sent across Europe after anyone linked, rightly or wrongly, to the attack. Zwaiter, Hamshari, and Boudia were among them.

Palestinian Wael Zwaiter had no proven link at all to the Munich attack when he was shot dead in the stairwell of his Rome apartment in October 1972 – indeed the PLO’s deputy chief at the time said that he was “energetically” against terrorism. Two months later, a bomb concealed inside Mahmoud Hamshari’s telephone blew up and killed him in his Paris apartment; the evidence for his personal involvement, historians now note, came almost entirely from Mossad’s own dubious assessments. The following June, Mohammed Boudia – an Algerian theater director whom Western intelligence cables described as an active militant – was blown up in his car, an assassination Le Monde reported the same day, June 29, 1973, while openly questioning what French authorities had known.

Whether the three men were guilty of wrongdoing or not – and it seems two of them were probably innocent – none were ever charged, tried, or given the chance to answer the allegations against them. They were killed on the strength of intelligence assessments that were, by the researchers’ own account, sometimes wrong and never tested in open court. These assassinations were state-sanctioned murder – and in each case, the assassins were aided and abetted directly by Western intelligence.

These three were not the only ones. Mossad’s Operation Wrath of God consisted of 10 missions in total, eight of them carried out in Europe, most using intelligence its Kilowatt partners supplied. None of the men killed were ever tried in a court. They were found, and then killed.

A continent turned into a hunting ground, with no right of appeal.

According to Aviva Guttmann, Kilowatt was set up to fix a gap: Mossad needed European intelligence to identify, track, and locate its targets in the first place. So in October 1971, Israel suggested opening a dedicated encrypted channel to share intelligence on Palestinian activity in Europe, and Western agencies agreed. The arrangement ran both ways. Mossad fed disinformation to its European partners about its own operations, leading French, Italian and other states to dismiss assassinations on their own soil as unsolved rather than face the reality of what an allied service had done in their backyards.

In a display of their political bias, Western agencies, however, continued to supply intelligence to Mossad long after press reporting had made clear exactly who was behind the killings. As Guttmann says, the assassination campaign would likely not have been possible without their continued cooperation.

Guttmann’s own research records that Golda Meir’s instruction remained that no innocent bystanders were to be hurt – the explosive charge for each hit calibrated carefully enough that a target could be killed while the blast stayed contained to his room. Compare that caution to Palestine today, where a single strike on Salah Shehade’s Gaza City home in 2002 killed at least 11 civilians alongside him, including eight children – a ratio of collateral death that would have been unthinkable in the 1970s, when the target was living on a street in Rome or Paris.

Where the Machine Leads Now

Rubio’s summit wasn’t just reviving an old method of killing. It was formalizing a newer one: silencing the people who object to it.

In October 2024 the Heritage Foundation published Project Esther, drafted by Victoria Coates, a former Trump national security adviser, Robert Greenway, and Daniel Flesch, a Heritage policy analyst and IDF veteran who also served as an adviser to Israel’s UN mission. The document named a so-called “Hamas Support Network” inside the United States and laid out a plan to dismantle pro-Palestinian advocacy via coordinated public and private pressure – its authors hoping it would become government policy once “a willing administration” took office. The second Trump administration, the New York Times has since reported, adopted several policies the document recommended.

Palestine Action was proscribed in Britain as a terrorist organization in July 2025, days after members broke into RAF Brize Norton and sprayed paint into the engines of two military aircraft – though internal government documents later revealed the decision had effectively been made months earlier, and the break-in was “the trigger but not the cause.” More than 3,000 people have been arrested since then for supporting the group. A High Court ruling that the proscription was unlawful was overturned by the Court of Appeal in June 2026 – but just yesterday, on July 30, the UK Supreme Court granted Palestine Action’s co-founder Huda Ammori permission to appeal, setting up a final legal battle with the Home Office this autumn.

At the July 2026 State Department summit, Rubio proclaimed that it was time “to crush this evil forever.” He didn’t name a specific plot. Instead he talked about 60 governments agreeing to pool intelligence and go after the money. In Fergie Chambers’ case, that money went to fund, among other things, a bakery, a desalination plant, a free medical clinic, and mental health support for orphaned children, all in Gaza.

What the Machine Hides

The Europeans who supplied Mossad the intelligence that led to the murders of Zwaiter, Hamshari, and Boudia have never been held to account for it. Secretary of State Rubio talking today about “intelligence sharing” isn’t describing something new. It’s the same machinery that let Mossad kill without trial in the 1970s, repurposed to get Fergie Chambers extradited from Spain on money-laundering charges for funding aid to Gaza, and to ban Palestine Action as terrorists in Britain for opposing the arms trade that supplies Israel’s genocide. Meanwhile Israel keeps killing, and the governments that once helped hunt down its enemies in Europe now spend their summits chattering about how to silence the people trying to stop it.

Richard Edain is a teacher and writer based in the UK and Vietnam who covers history, politics, and current affairs on his Substack, the Ulysses Files. His work traces today’s global headlines back to their historical roots. Contact: edainrichard@gmail.com.


https://original.antiwar.com/richard_edain/2026/08/02/the-machine-that-hunted-palestinians-in-the-1970s-is-hunting-their-allies-today/