Perhaps Israel and the US thought that Iran was desperate enough for a deal to stand down. By striking Israel today, Iran has shown that it will not abandon Hezbollah and south Lebanon.
https://x.com/aaronjmate/status/2063744900756132338
Making a deal with Iran would require Trump to formally accept the defeat of his regime change war and return at least some of Iran's stolen ("frozen") assets. He hasn't been willing to do that, so has spent weeks stalling for time. That gave Israel an opening to act as a spoiler, which it seized by escalating its aggression against Lebanon.
Perhaps Israel and the US thought that Iran was desperate enough for a deal to stand down. By striking Israel today, Iran has shown that it will not abandon Hezbollah and south Lebanon.
Now the onus is back on Trump: is he willing to respect Iran and Lebanon as sovereign nations and have peace, or is the cause of Greater Israel worth continuing the war.

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