Tuesday, 7 April 2026

if Trump makes good on his threat to destroy Iranian energy plants and bridges, that Iran will take the gloves off and begin systematically destroying oil production facilities, electricity generating plants, and desalination facilities in Israel and GCC countries friendly to the United States

MAJOR ALERT: We are treating Trump's threat to unleash "hell" on Iran tomorrow night far too casually. The consequences for the global economy could be more severe and longer lasting than any of us realize. We had Prof Muhammad Marandi from Tehran University on the show today who point-blank told us that if Trump makes good on his threat to destroy Iranian energy plants and bridges, that Iran will take the gloves off and begin systematically destroying oil production facilities, electricity generating plants, and desalination facilities in Israel and GCC countries friendly to the United States - and if the conditions in Iran get too dire, they may also start destroying every tanker currently floating in the Persian Gulf. The economic impact in the United States, Europe, Africa, and Asia would be profound, and last years. The chances of a depression - not merely a recession - would be high, as it would take many years to repair the damage, even after the war would end. We have put Iran in a no-win position, and desperate gov's take desperate actions when their physical lives are in the balance. We have spent too many years lying to Iran, pretending to be in diplomatic talks to resolve thorny issues, only to be exposed as having been using the discussion to buy time to build up military power for an attack. As a result, now that we really need a diplomatic solution, we don't have the credibility to seek one, because they no longer trust us.  From Iran's point of view, it would be irrational to trust the US to make good on any terms it negotiated, if it means surrendering its point of greatest leverage: control of the Straits of Hormuz. Worse, Trump again today bragged that he really wants to seize Iran's oil, like he stole it from Venezuela last year.  These kinds of lies and thefts can have immediate apparent benefit to the Trump team, but the costs could be profound in the medium term, especially if they lead desperate actors to take shocking actions, like returning our fire against our allies in the region. We must hope and pray that Trump does not order the attack on Iran's energy system on Tuesday night as he's promising he will. We may never recover from the consequences that would likely follow.
https://x.com/DanielLDavis1/status/2041256760468717943

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