SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: Tehran now speaks for Lebanon, conditions the Strait on Israeli troop movements, and sits as a principal while Israel waits for a readout.

https://x.com/academic_la/status/2069105228163744181

The Israeli government is alarmed at developments in the negotiations regarding Lebanon. Iran is not just back at the table. It is claiming primacy in Lebanon and the US is allowing it: 

1) The MOU folded Lebanon into the Iran deal. A Middle East official told CBS that Rubio had fought to keep the two tracks separate. The first point of the MOU declares a permanent end to the Lebanon conflict. Israeli officials called that a concession to Iran by Trump's envoys. 

2) The de-confliction cell proves it. Qatar and Pakistan announced it June 21. It is a US-Iran track that includes the Lebanese government and excludes Israel. 

3) Tehran said Saturday it would close the Strait of Hormuz again, citing one trigger: Israeli troops have not left southern Lebanon. Iran is treating south Lebanon as a file it negotiates. It is speaking for Beirut. The US is recognizing this. 

4) Herzog voiced the Israeli frustration: "Iran cannot be involved in Lebanon." He warned peace fails "if Iran has so much leverage." 

Bottom line: Tehran now speaks for Lebanon, conditions the Strait on Israeli troop movements, and sits as a principal while Israel waits for a readout. Israelis are beginning to understand that they are being left out of the important decisions.