It’s not a serious offer. It doesn’t have even the slightest of chance to be accepted by Iran. But it was never meant for them.
https://x.com/BrettErickson28/status/2061068495010562227
Last night, President Trump made a move that came as a surprise to many.
He got TOUGHER in his negotiating position.
But why did he do this is the question many are asking right now. Iran has consistently rejected terms offered by the United States because, quite frankly, they are ridiculously maximalist and entirely detached from the reality of the situation.
Trump is at the table with Iran holding a 7 & 2 off-suit, and Iran is sitting with pocket aces.
So why even waste the time to make an offer Iran is sure to refuse immediately?
Because the deal wasn’t meant for Iran. It was meant for American consumption.
Throughout this conflict, from a strategic standpoint, Trump has been absolutely dog walked by the Iranian regime. From the very first day that Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, and every day since, Iran has held the upper hand, and it only gets stronger by the day.
Trump knows this, even as he wallows in self pity and denial. Iran obviously knows this, and sees the upcoming bullet train of the World Cup, lowest SPR levels in history, midterms, cratering approval numbers… everything is going south for Trump fast at this point. It’s spiraling, and Trump looks increasingly desperate for a deal.
As much as Trump has tried to claim Iran is “begging” for a deal, it is obvious to everyone that it is really Trump that is on his hands and knees.
So if he’s going to reject the latest Iranian proposal because the terms are simply a step too far… why not give the image, the bluster, the BRAVADO of a “tough on Iran” Commander in Chief to sell to the American people.
“Trump is dictating the terms”
“Trump is running the show”
“The United States is in control”
Of course, this is all obviously rubbish. Iran knows that. Trump knows that. And everyone around the world knows that. But it’s not meant for them, it’s meant for his MAGA base.
Trump, by setting forth even more ludicrous terms, allows for a kicking of the can down the road, and the veneer of a tough President that will placate his base that has been ready to rip him to shreds.
It’s not a serious offer. It doesn’t have even the slightest of chance to be accepted by Iran. But it was never meant for them.
It was meant for the desperate and hopeless President Trump to try to prove to his base that he is still in control.
Even when he is clearly not.

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