This is Netanyahu’s nightmare scenario: an agreement that pushes back any strike on Iran’s civilian infrastructure and might even end the war.
https://x.com/citrinowicz/status/2057222676251320566
This is Netanyahu’s nightmare scenario: an agreement that pushes back any strike on Iran’s civilian infrastructure and might even end the war. Israel will oppose any deal with the current regime, a regime Jerusalem ultimately hopes to see replaced.
The problem for Netanyahu, however, is that the growing tension between him and Trump highlights a fundamental reality: he has very limited ability to influence the American policy regarding Iran right now. Trump, or at least key figures within his circle, appears increasingly interested in ending the conflict and exploring a negotiated outcome.
There is always a price when entering a campaign alongside the United States. You may influence how a confrontation begins, but not necessarily how it unfolds, and certainly not how it ends.
To be clear, the gaps between the sides remain significant. Yet despite Netanyahu’s objections, Trump still seems determined to seriously test the diplomatic option as his preferred path for bringing the war to a close.
Netanyahu likely still believes he can shape the president’s thinking. But if diplomacy ultimately prevails, it would represent a deeply problematic development for him politically and strategically, because his tools for countering such a move by Trump are extremely limited.
More broadly, it is important to remember that this war is actually the exception rather than the rule in the history of U.S.-Israeli policy toward Iran. Until the current administration, successive American governments largely preferred using economic pressure as leverage to push Tehran toward a diplomatic agreement that would block Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon.
The war demonstrated that attitudes in Washington may have shifted to some extent. But once the Iranian regime survived the initial shock, the fundamental gap between Israel and the United States regarding Iran’s future quickly reemerged as a central point of tension.
For Israel, the issue is not only Iran’s nuclear program but also the nature of the regime itself. For the United States, however, the priority has historically been preventing nuclearization, even if that means reaching an accommodation with the existing regime. That strategic difference is now returning to the forefront.
#IranWar
posted by Satish Sharma at
12:58
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