https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2053534818957131971
3 years of war. Here is where things actually stand.
Gaza
- Hamas has roughly 25,000 fighters, the same as before October 7
- Tunnel infrastructure intact, rockets being rebuilt
- No interim government. Hamas still politically in control
Lebanon
- Hezbollah not disarmed, north or south of the Litani
Leadership reorganized and now more resistant to assassinations than before
- FPV drones have turned northern Israeli settlements into ghost towns
Iran
- Islamic Republic more entrenched than before the war
- Ballistic missiles, drones, and conventional forces largely intact
- Large HEU stockpile remains. Nuclear breakout: 6 months to a year
- Strait of Hormuz under Iranian control
- Most U.S. bases in the region rendered unusable
Yemen:
- Houthis still control most of Yemen
- Hundreds of ballistic missiles and thousands of drones capable of hitting Israel
- Bab Al-Mandab can be closed at any moment
The stated war objectives were Hamas destroyed, Hezbollah disarmed, Iran defanged. The scorecard does not reflect that.Quote
Journalist:
โIs it accurate to say you think the combat operations in Iran are over and done?โ

Trump:
โNo, I didn't say that. I said they are defeated, but that doesn't mean they're done. We could go in for 2 more weeks and do every single target.
We've done probably 70% x.com/MarioNawfal/stโฆ
https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2053534818957131971
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