Question: What is America's weakness that forced it to stop the war?
Translated from Arabic
Question: What is America's weakness that forced it to stop the war?
In practice, Iran succeeded in imposing its interests on Trump and forcing him to halt the aggression and negotiate on its terms.
Forget the military calculations, because there's a broader dialectic here.
America's weakness is (oil), and Iran exploited this point skillfully, striking at the heart of American society and its interests..
In short: The war was costing America the withdrawal of its stockpile of about 400 million barrels of oil, and this is a dangerous thing that takes America back to the atmosphere of the 1970s crisis, where with the depletion of this stockpile, American factories would stop, and the country would return to the Middle Ages.
Due to #Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, Trump ordered the withdrawal of about 172 million barrels, which equals 43% of the strategic stockpile, but all of it in stages:
First batch: 45 million barrels, delivery began in the first ten days of April
Second batch: 8 million barrels (not delivered due to the war's halt)
The rest, about 119 million barrels, over the coming months
Daily withdrawal rate approximately 4 million barrels..
The ceasefire agreement saved America from the second batch and the total remainder,
Due to the first truce signed on April 8, most of the first batch wasn't withdrawn either, and only about 6 million barrels were withdrawn, equivalent to a day and a half..
Trump moved, and the American state recoiled with the first broad withdrawal from the strategic stockpile in the first 36 hours, and this explains Trump's extremely angry statements and his threat of total destruction to mobilize intermediaries and force the Arabs to beg him to stop the war, so that some of them could form pressure on Iran.
During the negotiations, Netanyahu rushed to commit massacres in Lebanon to sabotage the agreement,
Only then did the American media attack on Israel and Netanyahu begin, and the Europeans were encouraged to move against him, as Europeans often act according to interests and instructions from American elites.
So what if the first truce hadn't been signed on April 8?
In short: The first batch granted by the U.S. Department of Energy, amounting to 45 million barrels, would be withdrawn, and the second batch, about 8 million barrels, would also be withdrawn.
If the war didn't stop by the end of May, the remaining 119 million barrels would be withdrawn, and that's a catastrophe for the American economy because in this way, America would lose nearly half of its strategic stockpile because of the war,
Note that the stockpile withdrawal mechanism charges companies about 22% interest, so if these companies withdraw 45 million barrels, they are obligated to return 55 million barrels, and this is called the strategic stockpile exchange mechanism, and the companies can't even manage this interest in the first place due to supply shortages and the unavailability of petroleum products in the markets..
But sir,
I mean, Iran has America by (the short and curlies of its neck) and knows full well its weakness that will force it to stop the aggression and implement all its proposed conditions in the negotiations, because if America renews its aggression on Iran, Iran will return to closing #Strait_of_Hormuz and America will return to withdrawing from its strategic stockpile again at high intensity..
And here the equation becomes (Iran's conditions = America's economy)
And it's the same equation that forced America and Israel to include Lebanon in the ceasefire agreement, and because of it, Iran and the entire resistance axis won (unity of the arenas) and the formulation of a new security theory different from the previous years and decades..
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