SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: How Did Iran Neutralize the American Plan?

https://x.com/sameh_asker/status/2048030778395693320

سامح عسكر

Translated from Arabic

How Did Iran Neutralize the American Plan?

In all of America’s previous wars, it possessed an advantage that the adversary lacked: (the ability to escalate) while the adversary, deprived of that ability, rushed toward either surrender or capitulation.

This time is different.

#Iran possessed the ability to escalate, thereby neutralizing the American plan to impose its influence. And to explain to you briefly how that happened, come with me:

The stages of Iranian escalation unfolded as follows:

First: Striking power stations, energy facilities, and bridges belonging to America’s allies and sources of its income and strength in the Middle East... This made striking Iranian infrastructure (costly).

Second: Closing #Strait_of_Hormuz as a vital economic lifeline for America, its allies, and the world... This made the idea of blockading Iran also (costly).

Third: Striking Israel with missiles daily, with waves of missiles reaching it totaling around 100 waves during Operation True Promise 4, making the idea of continuing military strikes on Iran also (costly).

Fourth: Trump threatens to close the Strait of Hormuz to Iranian oil and goods, but Iran responded in a way that demonstrated the blockade is ineffective, that it has land-based options and alternatives (with Russia and China), and that the blockade harms the global economy and American allies more, making the idea of continuing what is called the "Iran blockade" also (costly) by elevating cooperation with Russia and China and developing it exponentially.

Fifth: Iran exploits the factor of time and takes care to prolong the duration of the battle, whether through war or negotiation. This affects the enthusiasm of the Americans and Zionists for war as the aggressor party, and raises the cost of the battles.

By prolonging the duration of the battle, Iran strengthens its relations with Russia (nuclear, commercial, military) and China (commercial, military), making the American blockade less effective and more costly.

In conclusion: America has lost its ability to escalate unilaterally, and it is no longer able to monopolize power. Any current or future negotiations will not allow it to impose its conditions and interests as happened in the past.

Trump lost the main first round, and any additional escalation will be costly for the United States and its allies, leading to the "breaking" of American prestige absolutely, with countries of the world daring to challenge it one after another. And this is the secret of the Iranians' refusal to negotiate now—they are forcing Trump to accept that he does not possess the ability to escalate and blackmail alone.

A war of emotions and ideas runs in parallel with the war of bullets and missiles.

A deep philosophical reading of the human soul and the ways of managing it in conflict and resources, and only the smartest and strongest will win... Not just the strongest... He must also be smart.