To better understand the latest National Security Strategy of the United States, it is necessary to read it with another report that submit by the US military 6 months ago, the Pacific Marines Strategy 2025.
https://x.com/BeijingDai/status/1997166023175549421
To better understand the latest National Security Strategy of the United States, it is necessary to read it with another report that submit by the US military 6 months ago, the Pacific Marines Strategy 2025.
In the Pacific Marines Strategy 2025, the US military's war strategy in Asia is "expeditionary base operations", which, in some simple words, is ocean guerrilla warfare against the PLA on many small islands in the first island chain.
The Marine Corps must bring their own building materials, supplies, equipment, ammunition, and fight against the PLA on an unsupported island. This report provides an estimated casualty rate for this tactic. After the deployment of the US Marine Corps team on the islands of the first island chain:
1. Loss of 30-50% under the first wave of PLA firepower coverage;
2. If they can persist for more than three days, the loss rate can reach 70%;
3. Small boat/unmanned system loss: 60-80%;
4. The average lifespan of the unmanned aerial vehicle ground control station on the island is 2-5 hours;
5. If it is a short-term operation, the expected death toll for the US military is 30,000 to 50,000. If the war lasts longer, the estimated casualties are between 80,000 and 120,000 people;
6. The report states: “We must accept disproportionate casualties in order to create windows for the fleet.”
Can the US military accept such casualties? Can the US military continue to fight with 50+% casualties? Obviously not. That's why the United States gave up "Asia First" in the latest National Security Strategy and turned to "Monroe Doctrine 2.0".
It is much clearer now, isn't it?
posted by Satish Sharma at
08:08
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