Tuesday, 15 February 2022

US Officials Falsely Claim Iran Is Mere Weeks From Nuclear Breakout

 

60 day breakout doesn't stand up to scrutiny


by Jason Ditz 

Usually Israel starts false claims of an imminent Iran nuclear breakout, but this week it is US officials starting the panic, telling senators in an assessment that if Iran really wanted to, they could have enough fissile material to build a single bomb in only 60 days.

This statement is, of course, all built around wiggle words. Iran has a lot of fissile material, but none of it is enriched to weapons-grade, and there isn’t even an attempt to do so. In mere fuel fore its power plant at Bushehr, Iran could have a lot of fissile material, but not be anywhere near a bomb.

We have to question what “breakout” capacity even means, as it clearly doesn’t mean 60 days for Iran to have a weapon. Rather, they seem to suggest some nebulous metric could be attained, if Iran decided, which they didn’t, and if everything went right after that.

All in all, Iran has no weapons-grade uranium at present, nor expectations that they’ll try to acquire any. The theoretical capacity of their enrichment program to make some, if they really wanted to, is a flimsy basis for such accusations, since once again there’s no reason to suspect this even might happen.

The whole point of these breakout dates isn’t to state facts, but to push political agendas. Normally, Israel to trying to steer the US into hawkish positions. In today’s case, US Democrats are trying to spin this as a problem caused by President Trump’s policy.

https://news.antiwar.com/2022/02/14/us-officials-falsely-claim-iran-is-mere-weeks-from-nuclear-breakout/

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