Saturday, 20 June 2026

The US-Israel Wars on Iran: Follow the Money

 



Jun 18, 2026 | 1 Comment

Like most of America’s wars in West Asia, the current joint U.S.-Israel attack on the Islamic Republic of Iran is about securing control over the region’s energy resources and preserving oil currency policies; practices that have fueled its expansive economy since the end of the Second World War.

Ultimately, this conflict, which has sent shockwaves through the global economy, boils down to who will reign in West Asia, control the world’s energy lifeline, and dictate the rules of global finance.

Beneath the veneer of geopolitical diplomacy and rhetoric about global order, the true catalyst for U.S. wars in the Persian Gulf – from the 1990 invasion of Kuwait to the current Iran war – has always been monetary supremacy, “money.” They have been rooted in oil revenue, debt leverage, and the staggering economic stakes of global energy and currency dominance.

Washington’s hardline stance, economic strangulation and military interventions  have been designed to enforce compliance. Countries, like Iran, that resist U.S. hegemony face severe financial and military pressures, because their defiance challenges America’s regional security architecture and unipolar dominance over the global financial system.

Since the 1970s, the “petrodollar system” has been the invisible engine of American prosperity and power.  However, the economic scaffolding that has buoyed its global hegemony is fraying, as geopolitical shifts and de-dollarization trends gradually erode the U.S. dollar’s absolute grip on global energy markets.

To make sense of how we reached this point, it is important to consider how the U.S. dollar achieved its global dominance and shaped our current economic reality.

In June 1974, the United States and Saudi Arabia signed a landmark economic and military cooperation agreement, establishing what has come to be known as the “petrodollar system.”

This consequential bargain was born in an era of political and economic uncertainty – inflation, Vietnam War and the 1973 Arab oil embargo. With the U.S. economy in a nosedive, then-President Richard Nixon, anxious to maintain the global demand for dollars, persuaded the Saudi government to finance America’s debt with its petroleum wealth.  He convinced them to price their oil exclusively in U.S. dollars and to invest their surplus oil profits in U.S. Treasury bonds.  In exchange, Washington agreed to provide the Saudis with weapons and protection.  By 1975, all Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries were pricing their oil in dollars.

The Saudi policy of pricing crude exclusively in U.S. dollars compelled all purchasing nations to convert their native currencies before making purchases.  Increased international demand for the dollar made it the world’s singular reserve currency and preferred medium of exchange.  To meet the increased need, Washington simply fired up the printing presses.

Over the years, Washington’s staunch support of the repressive Saudi regime has been driven by a strategic imperative: to ensure that its client state remains committed to the 1974 bargain.

This favorable pricing and trading arrangement has allowed Washington to entail massive deficits, to borrow and spend with abandon without triggering financial collapse. It has financed America’s numerous military adventures and provided the tools to wield economic sanctions and enforce its foreign policy.

Although a web of motives have fueled Washington’s interventions in West Asia, punishing currency dissenters was prominent in its past wars in Iraq and Libya.

In Iraq, for example, President Saddam Hussein’s fate was sealed when in 1999, he switched to trading Iraqi oil in euros; and officially converted his $10 billion reserve fund, held at the UN Oil-for-Food program, to euros in 2001.  President George W. Bush’s invasion in March 2003 not only quashed Iraq’s euro threat, it sent a clear warning to other countries considering an alternative oil transaction currency.

Under U.S. occupation, the country’s oil exports were quickly reverted to the dollar norm.  Additionally, UN Security Council Resolution 1483, drafted by the Bush administration and passed with U.S. pressure in May 2003, allowed the United States to control Iraq’s oil revenue, which they continue to do today.

The U.S.-led intervention and overthrow in 2011 of Colonel Muammar Qaddafi can be viewed through the same prism.  For decades, a number of African countries, led by Qaddafi, had been attempting to establish a pan-African currency based on Libya’s gold-backed dinar (estimated at around 143 tons of gold and a similar amount of silver) to reduce the continent’s dependence on the U.S. dollar, the euro and French franc in future oil sales.

Qaddafi’s life, along with his plan for a unified African currency, ended violently when NATO forces, led by the U.S., France and Britain, invaded Libya. It is worth noting that within weeks and in the midst of fighting, the poorly-organized anti-Qaddafi forces had created a Central Bank of Benghazi as the new monetary authority, replacing Libya’s state-owned bank.  The invasion also solidified France’s primacy in the post-Qaddafi oil sector.

Countries have grown weary with America’s dominance of the world economy, and with its use of military force to punish currency dissenters.  Consequently, dependence on the dollar as the global reserve currency has begun to weaken.

The intensity of U.S. rancor toward Iran is directly related to its efforts, along with Russia, to break free from the petrodollar monopoly.  To survive decades of punishing U.S.-Western economic sanctions, Tehran, has had to pioneer non-dollar trade alternatives.

For example, in 2003, Iran shifted its foreign-held assets and reserve funds out of dollars.  By 2008, it formalized the total elimination of the dollar from its crude transactions; and in 2012, began conducting its energy deals with China in renminbi (yuan).

When the U.S. and Israel launched the Iran war in February 2026, Tehran, as it said it would do if attacked, blocked the Strait of Hormuz to vessels going to and from ports of the U.S., Israel and their allies. And in mid-March, Iran formalized a non-dollar transit system in the strait.

Under the transit system, secure passage is guaranteed and permits granted to commercial vessels and oil tankers of primarily “friendly” nations that agree to pay transit fees in Chinese yuan (the petroyuan) or stable coins; and requires all ships traversing through the strait settle their cargo transactions in yuan.

America’s historical economic dominance has provided leverage to project unparalleled geopolitical and coercive power; an undisputed advantage it is now fighting fiercely to protect.

Ultimately, the escalating conflict in West Asia is a high-stakes stress test for the petrodollar, with Washington battling to maintain currency dominance, and adversaries attempting to actively bypass or dismantle it.

The international community is slowly shifting to a multi-currency world.  Ironically, the current war, as well as Washington’s over-employed sanctions regime against Iran, Russia and China, have catalyzed and hastened the erosion.

A weakened U.S. currency sets the stage for short and long-term consequences for the country.  International confidence in U.S. markets as an economic safe haven has begun to fracture. The historical belief that America is a well-governed country with stable legal, economic and financial institutions explains why central banks have allocated approximately 57 percent of global reserves to U.S. dollars.

Whenever it ends, the Iran war will have major implications for the U.S.-centered economic order.  The long-term outlook points to a weaker currency, as war costs – estimated at $12 billion a week – escalate and the national debt ($39+trillion) grows.  A natural consequence of this dynamic is increasing austerity domestically and a lessening of American geopolitical influence globally.

The United States could achieve significant economic benefits by cooperating with the international community to progressively overhaul global monetary structures.  Such a promethean transition, however, would require Washington policymakers to forego their imperious myths, exceptionalist ideologies and subservience to Zionist interests that have been foundational to America’s weaponization of the world financial system.

© 2026, M. Reza Behnam, Ph.D.

Dr. Behnam is a political scientist who specializes in comparative politics with a focus on West Asia.


https://original.antiwar.com/reza_behnam/2026/06/17/the-us-israel-wars-on-iran-follow-the-money/

Trump Will NOT HONOR The Iran MoU He admits he is going to waste time during these 60 day and not give Iran what he agreed to give them.

 https://x.com/RyanRozbiani/status/2067990492755763691

Trump Will NOT HONOR The Iran MoU He admits he is going to waste time during these 60 day and not give Iran what he agreed to give them. The man who NEVER honored a business deal, shocker. The criticism from the media, his puppets on social media, and Israel is now scaring him. He wants to be loved more than he wants to be a successful president that puts America first. Iran should prepare for the war to restart soon.
Quote
Ryan Rozbiani
@RyanRozbiani
🇮🇷 Iran to Washington: VIOLATE and It's an EYE for an EYE Any breach by the American side triggers a predetermined RECIPROCAL response, Tehran's Supreme National Security Council warned, vowing complete distrust of the "treacherous, covenant breaking enemy." It pledged NO x.com/RyanRozbiani/s…

https://x.com/RyanRozbiani/status/2067990492755763691

How Multipolarity Forced Trump to Capitulate...For Now

  June 19, 2026More

When describing Donald Trump’s new Memorandum of Understanding with Iran, Foreign Policy magazine summarized the seeming end to the war as a “bigger defeat than Vietnam.”

This negation of American militarism has been felt strongest in Israel, where the Jewish state’s executors in Jerusalem and Washington/New York are throwing a fit. JD Vance, thrown in front of the cameras to own the administration’s retreat before their masters, is now openly telling the furious Jewish-American press “Trump is your [Israel] only ally left in the world.”

Has the White House had enough of Jewish domination of its policies? Is the pause in fighting Iran, which through Persian and Shia tenacity has significantly risen the bar for any continuation of hostilities, permanent?

Not so fast.

Passengers pulling the emergency break on the runaway train should not be seen as a change of guard, but rather a hard check placed on the Jewish domination of Washington DC by the combined forces of several major regional actors the American empire relies on to project power on behalf of Israel.

Forcing America to halt a war it was clearly losing and go to the negotiating table took Turkey (NATO’s second largest army), Pakistan (a nuclear power), the Gulf States (hosts of US CENTCOM with $2 trillion dollars parked in American foreign direct investment) and Egypt to pool their immense lobbying and diplomatic resources together. They offered an ultimatum: America must pause to reconsider its pursuit of Israel’s maximalist objective of conquering Iran and breaking it up into multiple rump states or they will form a new power bloc of their own to deal with this problem. As the American empire declines, multipolarity — which is bringing about the genesis of regional power blocs beyond the familiar Chinese, Iranian and Russian alliance — flexed its bicep.

Even as the administration realized it had no choice but to cave under the pressure exerted by the united front of its growing list of disgruntled associates, Trump audaciously demanded they first sign the Abraham Accords embracing Israel before any Iran negotiations began. The exasperated Muslim states responded with a resounding “No!”

This reaction, equal parts panicked and assertive, is a consequence of Iran’s unorthodox decision to focus its strategy on taxing the collaborationist Gulf regimes. The war has so far cost Gulf Cooperation Council states $200 billion dollars worth of economic damage, prompting public threats from Arab monarchs being pummeled to pull their trillions of dollars currently helping keep American tech, real estate, and bonds afloat.

In other words, the Saudis, Qataris and Emiratis pay the American empire to protect them, in addition to offering their soil for US bases and playing nice with Israel.

Yet at the height of the conflict, Iran and its allies quickly destroyed the expensive and difficult to replace THAAD network integral to the air defenses of both the Gulf and Israel. During the commotion, America’s Middle East protectorates endured blow after blow from Iranian missiles and drones, and Washington’s response was to anger another one of its client states — South Korea — by hastily moving its THAAD defense systems from East Asia to Jordan in order to better protect Israel, an act of brazen Jewish favoritism.

Working with America used to make one untouchable, but today it paints a bullseye on your country. The United Arab Emirates thought it could hedge against potential Iranian retaliation by allowing Russian billionaires to use Dubai to skirt sanctions, only to be taken aback by the revelation that Putin doesn’t care what the oligarchs think, preferring to help the IRGC in acquiring Gulf targets, including hotels in its fragile and decadent cities where US soldiers thought they were hiding.

The US’ catastrophic failure to keep up its end of the bargain is forcing Gulf planners to begin considering concessions to Iran, such as paying Tehran not to spare them. The GCC has hitched itself to the US-Israeli wagon as a realist acknowledgement that neither Israel or America can be militarily or economically defeated. The Iranians, who have limitless ability to sustain damage and are constantly innovating in the realm of warfare, have now demonstrated that this assumption is false, which will inevitably force a change in calculation from cowardly and cynical regional actors down the road.

With now a year and a half worth of Barak Ravid’s fairy tales alleging that Trump has had enough of Israel and Netanyahu indexed at Axios, nobody believes it anymore. For this reason, the administration is now forced to make a public spectacle of condemning Israel. This is geared at making America’s Muslim friends and foes — who currently have all the leverage — think Washington has the whip hand, when the reality is that Israel and the Jewish-American elite do. This was proven for the umpteenth time when Trump’s recent command for Netanyahu to “stop!” was immediately met by Israeli strikes on Iran and Lebanon.

As expected, Iran has already made good on its side of the bargain. The Strait of Hormuz has been reopened and a global economic depression has been averted. On the other hand, the major concessions from America to Iran highlighted by commentators in the MOU have stipulations deferring them pending further negotiations, like a hundred-dollar bill being pulled by a fishing line. One of the MOU’s major promises, that Israel’s war in South Lebanon is to immediately cease, continues to be flagrantly violated even at the expense of enormous IDF casualties in recent days.

As for planned talks in Switzerland to actualize the terms of the agreement, they are already failing.

It is unclear whether Benjamin Netanyahu, whose post October 7th wars have largely failed to achieve any strategic objectives, will survive electorally, but favorites to replace him like former IDF chief Eisenkot are just as bloodthirsty.

As for Trump, Witkoff and Kushner’s latest “time out” on Iran, they have so far been lulls to recalibrate with the intent of continuing. There’s no reason to believe this time is any different.

(Republished from Substack by permission of author or representative)

https://www.unz.com/estriker/how-multipolarity-forced-trump-to-capitulate-for-now/