https://x.com/alfihrest/status/2064175929409065339
Translated from Arabic
Abu Dhabi in Tehran .. (Dawn of the Following Day)
If the reports of the arrival of a high-level Emirati delegation in Tehran are true, then we are not facing a diplomatic maneuver, but rather an admission of a resounding political defeat and the collapse of all the calculations and bets that Abu Dhabi built its positions and rhetoric on during the war in one fell swoop—it officially labeled the regime as terrorist, promoted its participation in the attack on it, and feuded with and accused those who distanced themselves from participation. And now, it is racing ahead of everyone to repent and return to that very regime.
This step confirms that Abu Dhabi's bets on the regime's downfall were greater than its capacity to bear the consequences of failure—a reckless gamble with the future, an impulsive chase after illusions of inflated regional roles—only to find itself confronting the bitter reality. It is a step closer to a preemptive scramble to contain what can be contained and to avoid an Iranian stance and retaliatory policy that could be more severe and longer-lasting.
It is a complete about-face, after ascertaining the shift in the primary war sponsor's objectives, for the matter is clear: The regime endures, and you must deal with it.
But Abu Dhabi's quandary with its surroundings (and foremost Tehran) is greater than the war itself—it is the "Abrahamic project" and Israeli expansion in the Gulf, which Tehran and others see as an immediate existential and historical threat, and they will not separate it from Abu Dhabi's behavior before the war, during it, and after it.
And the questions remain many, stirring suspicion and caution: What are the costs? What is the deal? What will satisfy Tehran? And what about Israel? And the others in the Gulf and beyond?
But the constant is that fluctuations and dramatic chapters will govern Abu Dhabi's forthcoming steps, for the gamble was grand and historic, and its repercussions will be likewise
#الفهرست #العقل_لايكفي #أبوظبي #إيران #الخليج #الإماراتRate this translation:
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