https://x.com/jeremyscahill/status/2051980647019766071
There is intense diplomacy, exchange of amendments on a potential MOU between Iran and the US. The entire process is a damning indictment of the fact that this was a war of choice by the US. A deal could have been reached in February or much earlier.
Trump will try to manufacture a claim of victory for putting out parts of a raging fire he started, but the fact is Iran inflicted a level of damage and displayed a resolve that stunned Trump's administration and they have flailed to find a way out.
Despite the assassination of its senior leadership, Iran engaged in organized, sustained retaliatory strikes and its government remained intact and in power. The promised uprisings or "regime collapse" never materialized. Iran used asymmetric tactics to create a severe crisis in the Strait of Hormuz that the U.S. could not defeat, culminating with the failed "Project Freedom" farce.
Nothing is guaranteed and the U.S. twice bombed Iran while claiming to be negotiating. That could happen again. But time is not on Trump's side. The U.S. will have to make concessions that Trump swore he would not. This is not going to end with Iran's "unconditional surrender."
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