SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: Iran refuses to hand over the uranium.. and Netanyahu wants to attack Iran before he leaves office.

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سامح عسكر

Translated from Arabic

Iran refuses to hand over the uranium.. and Netanyahu wants to attack Iran before he leaves office.

Now, Mr. Netanyahu is the head of a caretaker government, meaning he is still in power.

Some media outlets reported that he is planning a military attack on Iran before handing power over to the next government, whoever it may be. Israeli media are reporting that Chief of Staff Zamir opposes it, and Gadi Eisenkot sent him a message saying, "Show restraint, and refrain from dangerous steps that can wait for the new government."

And the question here is: Does a temporary authority have the right to make a decision whose consequences are permanent?

The answer isn't simple, because it reflects the depth of Israel's current crisis. Netanyahu is effectively supposed to be out of power, yet he is making whatever decisions he pleases, with serious consequences for the future governments that follow, and he could drag them into trouble before he leaves as an act of revenge.

The very fact that Israel continues to threaten Iran keeps Iran's leaders on high alert and unwilling to give up their source of strength under any circumstances..

Yesterday, Mohsen Rezaei said that Iran would retain its stockpile of enriched uranium, amounting to 440 to 450 kg of uranium enriched to 60%, and that this uranium is an Iranian scientific asset that will be used to build nuclear submarines.

And Iran is completely refusing to sit down with America at the negotiating table unless its seven conditions have actually begun to be implemented. The reason is that America betrayed them twice during previous negotiations, and Trump, with his madness and the recklessness of his administration, is responsible for this crisis when he attacked Iran twice during the negotiations, thereby making the very idea of negotiating a source of feeling deceived..

On another front, Reuters reported, citing sources, that Iran attacked American navigation systems on Oman's Didamar Island, which help ships pass through the strait via the American passage. The extent of the damage is still unclear.

But the Iranian navy said that an oil tanker exploded after hitting a mine east of the strait, and asked shipowners to coordinate with Iranian forces. Note that if this strike on the American radar system did happen, it would blind ships trying to pass through the American passage. In other words, they won't just be attacked by #ايران; they won't be able to see anything at all as they pass through..

As for traffic through the strait, the numbers tell a lot: the IMF PortWatch platform recorded just 3 ships on November 8, compared with the usual 85 a day, most of them using the Iranian passage for a fee, while the rest get attacked.

The Washington Institute recorded 37 attacks on ships in October alone, which sent Brent crude to close on Wednesday at $92.76 after Rezaei's statement. It fell back to $91.62 this morning on hopes of negotiations. But the reality is that any agreement between America and Iran won't restore traffic until the mines are cleared and insurance costs come down..

In other words, Iranian assistance will be needed for months after an agreement to secure passage through the strait, and that is what is keeping oil prices high even amid the prospect of a peace agreement or a ceasefire.

These are the main developments in the past few hours, and they show that the region is in a state of (neither war nor peace), with both sides on high alert. After a major political change, the war could be frozen, as happened in Korea in the 1950s, or between Iraq and Iran in the 1980s.. Most likely, this war will run its course the Korean way, as I explained to you before.

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