every $1 Iran spends on mining could force the United States and commercial shipping to absorb thousands of dollars in countermeasures, delay and risk.
https://x.com/ejmalrai/status/2094673679196029273
If Iran deployed 50 mines, the cost is approximately: $250,000–$2.5 million.
US clearance and protection cost: $50–200 million.
Potential damage from one successful strike: tens or hundreds of millions.
Economic consequences: potentially billions through delayed oil shipments, higher freight rates and war-risk insurance.
Therefore, every $1 Iran spends on mining could force the United States and commercial shipping to absorb thousands of dollars in countermeasures, delay and risk.
The mine’s greatest value is psychological. Iran does not necessarily need to close the entire Strait or sink many vessels. A few confirmed mines, or even credible uncertainty about mines that remain undiscovered, can stop shipowners and insurers from treating the route as safe. In strategic terms, laying mines is cheap; proving that the water is mine-free is slow, dangerous and exceptionally expensive.
Historically, Iran spent about $200,000 laying approximately 200 mines during the Tanker War, yet caused more than $100 million in damage. A mine estimated to cost $1,500 nearly sank the USS Samuel B. Roberts in 1988; US submissions to the International Court of Justice recorded almost $50 million in rescue, transportation and repair expenses. Other US naval sources place the complete repair cost considerably higher.
posted by Satish Sharma at
13:38
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