The immediate question remains the same: Can Trump deliver Israel?
https://x.com/HalaJaber/status/2066287894172450999
IMPORTANT:
A clarification on the reported U.S.-Iran agreement.
Earlier reports made it sound as though a final peace deal had already been reached & that Friday’s signing ceremony was largely a formality.
That is not what Iranian officials are now describing.
According to Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi, what has been finalized is a memorandum of understanding & framework for ending military operations, lifting the blockade & opening the way for further negotiations.
A formal signing is expected on Friday.
However, a further 60-day negotiating process would then follow, covering sanctions, the nuclear file, economic reconstruction, implementation mechanisms & verification of commitments.
Iranian officials also stress that entry into those negotiations is conditional on the United States first implementing its commitments regarding the end of the war, lifting the siege & releasing assets.
In short, this appears less like a final settlement & more like a framework designed to stop the fighting & create the conditions for a broader agreement.
The immediate question remains the same:
Can Trump deliver Israel?
Because if military operations are indeed meant to end on all fronts, including Lebanon, then Lebanon may provide the first real test of whether this understanding holds in practice.
A word of caution, however. We have heard talk of agreements, imminent agreements, understandings & breakthroughs before. Friday is still a long way away in military terms, & the road beyond it is longer still.
Much can happen between now & then. There are many stages yet to navigate & no shortage of actors capable of derailing the process.
Celebrations may be premature.
posted by Satish Sharma at
06:44
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