Monday, 8 June 2026

Prime Minister Netanyahu may have convinced President Trump that military pressure on Iran would ultimately bring Tehran back to the negotiating table in a weaker position.

 https://x.com/citrinowicz/status/2063915678667542926

There is another possibility worth considering: Prime Minister Netanyahu may have convinced President Trump that military pressure on Iran would ultimately bring Tehran back to the negotiating table in a weaker position. That assumption would align with Trump's well-known preference for reaching a deal rather than becoming entangled in another prolonged conflict in the Middle East. The problem is that this assumption does not appear to reflect Iran's strategic calculus. If the administration is relying on the expectation that military pressure alone will force Tehran to abandon its core positions, it may be setting itself up for disappointment. Iran's leadership has repeatedly demonstrated that it is prepared to absorb significant costs rather than compromise on what it views as its fundamental red lines. Even after a military confrontation with Israel, Tehran is unlikely to make concessions on those core issues. #IranWar‌
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Andrew Fox
@Mr_Andrew_Fox
Option 1) Trump was serious about dissuading Israel. Bibi ignored Trump and struck Iran anyway. Option 2) They’re playing good cop/bad cop and Trump retains deniability. Either option suggests that a deal with the regime remains Washington’s priority objective.

https://x.com/citrinowicz/status/2063915678667542926

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