SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: The world's richest man openly said he's afraid the U.S. might collapse.

https://x.com/ThePenguinBTC/status/2060744607793574080

Translated from Turkish

Every empire collapsed along the same line. America crossed that line long ago.

Elon Musk made a confession a few days ago.

The world's richest man openly said he's afraid the U.S. might collapse.

"The interest on the debt has now surpassed even the defense budget. If artificial intelligence and robots can't solve this, we're done for."

And beneath that sentence lies a massive plan that no one is shouting from the rooftops.

Let me explain.

First, let's look at the sheer size of this debt.

America owes 39 trillion dollars. Forget paying it off—it's hard to even picture that number in your mind.

In the last year alone, just the interest on this debt cost 1 trillion dollars.

In the same period, the U.S. military budget was 947 billion dollars.

So now, America is spending more just on interest for old debt than it does on its own army.

Out of every 100 dollars in taxes paid by citizens, 20 dollars vanishes straight into that interest—without turning into a single service.

No country could normally withstand this much debt. So how has America held on?

The answer is one word. Petrodollar.

For decades, oil has been bought and sold in the world solely in dollars. If a country wants oil, it first has to stockpile dollars.

That created an endless hunger for the dollar. Once everyone needed dollars, America could borrow as much as it wanted. Because every dollar it printed, the world fought over.

So what kept this system afloat?

America's dominance over the seas. Controlling the critical straits and sea routes that oil passes through with its navy.

In other words, at the very bottom, it was the military again. The navy.

The navy holds the oil routes, oil is sold in dollars, demand for dollars never ends, and America could borrow without limits thanks to it all.

Now read the chain backward.

The interest on that debt has now surpassed even the navy at the foundation of this whole system.

In other words, America is paying more in interest on its debt than it spends on the very military that sustains its borrowing power.

Ray Dalio, one of the world's biggest investors, studied hundreds of years of empire collapses and described exactly this moment.

"When superpowers are excessively indebted and show they've lost military and financial control, watch for them to lose the confidence of allies and creditors, lose reserve currency status, and see their currency weaken—especially against gold."

Pay attention to the items Dalio listed. Each one is knocking on America's door right now, one by one.

And while America is mired in this debt swamp, it's also plunged into war with Iran. In other words, it's living out Dalio's picture of "overreaching with a show of strength while excessively indebted"—word for word.

Now let's get to the real question. How do you pay off this debt?

The answer is brutal but clear. You don't.

Even doubling taxes wouldn't cut it. No matter what you cut from the budget, it would be dust next to this mountain. This debt can't be repaid—it can only be escaped.

So how do you escape?

There's only one way.

Melt the debt away.

The debt is in dollars. As the dollar loses value, that debt repaid in it effectively shrinks in real terms.

That's the real point behind Trump's line: "A weak dollar doesn't worry me."

When a country's currency loses value, normally everything gets more expensive and the people get poorer.

So if you weaken the dollar to melt the debt, you're just passing the bill to your own citizens.

Throughout history, no one has escaped this trap. Every country that tried to melt its debt crushed its people with inflation.

America's plan is built on breaking down that wall. And the thing that will break it down? Artificial intelligence.

The logic is dead simple.

If robots produce around the clock without stopping, the market gets flooded with goods.

Then, no matter how much money you print, there's always enough stuff to match it. Prices have nowhere to rise.

The money loses value, but life doesn't get more expensive. Robots fill the gap.

For the first time in history, a country can devalue its currency and escape debt without impoverishing its people. Because for the first time in history, there's a force that can ramp up production almost limitlessly.

Elon Musk's that fear-filled sentence is looking right here. If the robots don't arrive in time, all that printed money lands straight on the people's backs. And America joins the roster of history's sunken empires.

This plan is so serious that Trump picked a guy to head the Fed who'll make it happen.

His name is Kevin Warsh.

Warsh isn't just anyone. For years, he came from the camp saying "cutting rates is dangerous, it causes inflation."

But lately, he's changed his tune. Now he argues this: Artificial intelligence has changed everything. From here on, even if rates are cut—or money is printed—production will surge so much that inflation won't come.

Trump was hunting for a Fed chair who'd say exactly that.

Because the plan requires cutting rates and melting the dollar. And while doing it, they need someone to say, "Don't worry, the robots will keep inflation in check." Warsh is that guy.

And the plan comes together. Trump weakens the dollar. Musk builds the robot army to take over production. Warsh floods the money out from the central bank.

A three-man debt-melting machine.

But here's the most chilling part.

What was the last sign of collapse Dalio listed? The currency melting against gold.

America's so-called "salvation plan" is exactly the same as what Dalio calls the "beginning of the end": Weakening the dollar.

In other words, America doesn't see that the very step it's taking to save itself might actually be the signal of its collapse. And while you're at it, note why central banks are buying gold at record levels.

So, will this plan work?

This is the part no one can be sure about.

On one side, there's history—and history is crystal clear. Every power that tried to cheat its way out of debt eventually collapsed.

On the other side, there's something that's never existed before. Machines that produce on their own, without stopping.

So America is either playing the biggest economic gamble history has ever seen—or it's the first to ever leap over that millennium-old pit that swallows empires.

And the outcome won't just hit America—it'll hit everyone holding dollars.

This is my personal analysis.

I'm following the developments. I'll keep you posted.