SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: The Iran conflict is starting to look like a trap with no clean exit. Trump has 3 options:

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2052702551284539694

Mario Nawfal

 The Iran conflict is starting to look like a trap with no clean exit.

Trump has 3 options:

1. Keep the blockade and sanctions. Slow pressure, but Iran doesn't break easily and the Strait stays contested.

2. Escalate with heavier strikes. Risks a wider regional war and still doesn't guarantee control of the Strait.

3. Negotiate a deal. Achievable, but politically it looks like a capitulation after weeks of strikes.

Here's the core problem: Iran sits on the Strait of Hormuz. If they stay in power and start charging tolls on every vessel from a country that sanctioned or attacked them, the entire global shipping order shifts.

The U.S. can't walk away from that. But it also can't fully neutralize Iran without committing to something that looks a lot like regime change.

No clean win, no clean exit. Just a stalemate that gets more expensive the longer it runs.

Source: @Glenn_Diesen

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Mario Nawfal

@MarioNawfal

14h

 The IRGC claims the U.S. attacked an Iranian oil tanker near Jask, then launched a large-scale missile and drone strike on U.S. warships in retaliation.

- The IRGC says it fired ballistic missiles, anti-ship cruise missiles, and high-explosive drones at U.S. destroyers
-  x.com/MarioNawfal/st…