In this landscape, Donald Trump coordinates, Netanyahu decides, and the world suffers.
https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/2051378649249489308
Hard times
President Trump is making yet another attempt to rally support for the liberation of the strait, this time calling on South Korea.
The American administration started a war, but achieved none of its objectives and is now seeking help to solve a problem in Hormuz that didn’t even exist before the war.
The great uncertainty remains how Donald Trump might find a way to escape this quicksand victoriously.
I believe he will repeat his original error by relying on aggressive, short-term strikes. Escaping quicksand requires distributing one’s weight over the surface; those who believe intense force is the answer tend to sink further.
In this landscape, Donald Trump coordinates, Netanyahu decides, and the world suffers.
A completely unnecessary war, even though negotiations were already well advanced.
No, there is no short-term solution, and the world needs to prepare because the real impacts are only just beginning. Those who mispriced this conflict made a huge mistake.
We are on the path to a scorched-earth scenario with global impacts that will continue to amplify over time.
This new phase should involve more actors, but they will not be the South Koreans.

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