SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: Why Is America's Defeat Inevitable? History shows no mercy; all the signs of the defeat of nations and great empires are present in it.

https://x.com/sameh_asker/status/2043796785731154052

Translated from Arabic

Why Is America's Defeat Inevitable? History shows no mercy; all the signs of the defeat of nations and great empires are present in it. There are 10 signs that confirm America's inevitable defeat. First: Corrupt, foolish, and reckless leadership—Trump and his family rule the country without transparency or democracy, and most of his behavior is impulsive, without employing reason or relying on advisors. This drives a shift in American and international public opinion against this war, viewing it as corrupt and serving special interests and extremists the most. Second: America is ruled by a moody, irritable, and psychologically unstable person, and this type of leader doesn't look beyond his own feet and has no planning for the future. Third: Trump is weak in the face of Christian Zionism in his country, controlled by the extremist Netanyahu and Israel's religious right—this has entangled him in a war with #Iran from which he won't recover, and at the very least, the empire we know will vanish and become an ordinary state without teeth. Fourth: America fell into the Vietnam trap when it thought force alone could decide the war, and it's getting entangled with Iran in the same way now that diplomacy has vanished and it can no longer control its officials' feelings or restrain them from using rational, predictive rhetoric. Vietnam was weaker, but by rejecting diplomacy, America gave the Vietnamese the incentive and dragged it into a long war of attrition—the result was a full American withdrawal in 1973, the fall of Saigon in 1975, and the U.S. economy was hit by inflation and debt, with the war contributing to internal economic crises. Fifth: America's inability to achieve a decisive outcome is pushing (China and Russia) to intervene gradually. The same atmosphere as the American War of Independence (1775-1783) against Britain, when the English failed to end the war against the American revolutionaries, leading to the intervention of (France and Spain) to support the revolutionaries, and ultimately the revolution succeeded in expelling the English occupation—despite Britain being the world's strongest empire at the time. The same atmosphere as the Vietnam War too, when America failed to achieve a decisive outcome, leading to the intervention of (China and the Soviet Union), and the Vietnamese succeeded in expelling the American occupation. Sixth: America's economy is fragile due to its reliance on (the petrodollar) and AI investments coming from the Gulf, while Trump is currently sacrificing his relationship with the Gulf for Israel and contributing to the destruction of Arab countries through reckless decisions and violations (the latest being the militarization of #Strait_of_Hormuz).. All previous U.S. administrations rejected war with Iran for this reason—that the war would destroy the United States' main source of income and prevent Arab wealth from supplying the American treasury or fixing its deficits.. Seventh: The American people are the world's biggest consumers and won't accept a stalled or difficult war that reduces their well-being and increases their suffering.. Protests will erupt even more against Trump, and the American people will pressure for the war to end on any terms. Eighth: Iran knows that matching America militarily is always futile due to the power gap, but it has two weapons that enable it to endure and impose its will: 1- The Strait of Hormuz and the global economic lifeline 2- Geography and possession of survival factors, supply chains, and logistics that are easier and more abundant than America's, which is coming from very far away—over 10,000 km. Ninth: The world is angry and in revolt against this war ignited by Netanyahu with his bad reputation and previous crimes in Gaza; this has formed public opinion among political, academic, and military elites that pressures the decision-maker in the White House. Trump's constant and escalating anger can be understood for this reason—there are comprehensive pressures on him to end the war, described globally as absurd and catastrophic. Tenth: Iran has been self-sufficient for 47 years, producing its own food and weapons, and war with this type of country is extremely difficult—an example of that: 1- Self-sufficient Russia defeated two of history's strongest empires (France in the 19th century) and (Germany in the 20th century) 2- Self-sufficient Afghanistan also defeated two of history's strongest empires (the Soviet Union and America) 3- Self-sufficient Finland defeated the Soviet Union in the Winter War 1939-1940 4- Self-sufficient China defeated Japan in the Second Sino-Japanese War 1937-1945 5- Vietnam, despite its poverty, expanded rice production to become food self-sufficient, manufactured its local weapons, and triumphed over the United States in a war that lasted 20 years from 1955-1975 The lesson: Don't fight someone who has their own food and weapons, when you're unable to achieve a decisive outcome or prevent great powers from intervening; likewise, don't fight on very distant land, don't ignite a war that brings the world's wrath upon you, and any war started by one in economic crisis can only end in defeat.

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7:01 AM · Apr 14, 2026