SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: Why Did the War on Iran Fail?

https://x.com/sameh_asker/status/2049238436897567124

Translated from Arabic

Why Did the War on Iran Fail?

Today, the German Chancellor Friedrich Merz issued a statement saying: (Iran has emerged stronger than we thought)

Trump responded to him and said: The German Chancellor knows nothing about Iran and has no idea what he's talking about..

The German Chancellor's statement contains criticism and jabs at Western institutions as a whole, from executive authorities and intelligence agencies to security councils and think tanks, while Trump's response to him confirms what Merz said—that the Trump administration only understands the language of chit-chat, which is the plural of "tuktuk," and in Egyptian, it means the language (of thugs, hashish users, and fools).

So why did the German Chancellor say this?

First: Iran's #Iran missile and drone capabilities have proven their effectiveness in the war, striking Israel, American bases, and its allies with force.

On the ground, these are deterrent capabilities that cannot be overcome, and they in turn prove the weakness of Western air defenses in the face of the Iranian attack.

Second: The Iranian military forces have demonstrated their strength and internal unity, as well as their cohesion on the battlefield despite the assassination of leaders, while in contrast, the American military forces have shown their weakness and fragility with the numerous dismissals and conflicts in the American war ministry, which were caused by the war minister "Pete Hegseth."

Scientifically, what happened in the American army is a lack of understanding of the nature of the conflict and a failure to properly assess Iranian power, which is what the German Chancellor Friedrich Merz meant.

Third: The rapid changes in Trump's statements and those of his advisors, their conflicting claims, and their unbalanced videos indicate weakness and fragility in the American administration in general, while this is not present in the largely unified Iranian administration.

Fourth: The catastrophic negative impact that Iran has inflicted on America's allies, whether in Israel and the Gulf, or in Europe and the global economy, confirms that Iran possesses means and tools of power that cannot be overcome in the overall conflict.

Fifth: The current decline in negotiations around just opening the Strait of Hormuz, while the cards and demands of the American administration in the nuclear and missile file have eroded, in contrast to Iran solidifying its political system and unifying the fronts of resistance.

Sixth: The war has shown that the United States cannot easily impose its control, while Iran has proven its ability to control the Strait of Hormuz and the global economy, and any escalation against it threatens the global economy.

To solve this dilemma, America and Israel need a decisive victory, while Iran only needs to hold firm, and so far, Iran is advancing while its adversaries are lagging behind and unable to achieve that decisive victory.

Seventh: What Trump is doing with the mutual blockade in #Strait_of_Hormuz leads to disruption in oil, energy, and trade markets, and poses a risk of global recession or depression if the war continues longer than that.

In conclusion—what the German Chancellor said has field and intellectual validity, and what he said cannot be dismissed with personal wishes and desires, and if America had any critical thinking these days, it would have isolated Trump and his administration and put them on trial for that historic scandal.