The Heavy Psychological Warfare to Weaken Iran in the Negotiations
https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/2046415239378276508
The Heavy Psychological Warfare to Weaken Iran in the Negotiations
Donald Trump’s temperament is well known to both the American public and the world.
His statements often follow the principle of subverting established truths, using a rhetoric that, most of the time, sounds incoherent or exaggerated, in his view, reality must adapt to his style.
But that does not mean that, among these statements, there are no carefully crafted messages guided by psychological warfare specialists, an area in which the Pentagon has historically had top-tier professionals.
Peace proposals were exchanged and rejected in the first round in a deliberate manner, with the clear aim of creating confusion and buying time without making it too obvious.
It is necessary to examine the Iranian negotiators’ position very carefully, as well as how the markets and the lives of billions of people react to every statement or silence from them.
First and foremost, it is important to remember: in this scenario, there is no concrete proof of anything. Everything is assessed through behaviors, actions, and outcomes that raise suspicions that an operation of this kind is underway, and today it certainly is.
Notice how often it leaks to the international media and social media channels that Iran “is very close to an agreement.”
However, when you look at the leaked terms, they are selective and do not match the main negotiating agenda. This information reaches the Iranian command, which immediately asks the negotiators if it is true. Imagine the level of nervousness during a period of war. This tactic is classic and widely used.
Another clear strategy worth observing is the talks in Islamabad. Trump’s delegation, led by JD Vance, adopts a respectful and even cordial tone with the Araghchi and Ghalibaf, while maintaining a harsh rhetoric of annihilation against the IRGC.
This creates the public perception that there are two paths: Prosperity alongside the politicians and destruction alongside the military.
Publicly, this forces Iranian politicians to try to demonstrate control over the military, control that, in practice, they do not actually have, generating internal friction.
The US imposes extremely heavy sanctions on companies linked to the IRGC, but at the same time signals that it could ease restrictions on economic sectors defended by the Parliament.
Once again, the goal is to create division.
Trump often publicly praises the intelligence of certain Iranian negotiators. For a negotiator in wartime, receiving a public compliment from Trump is almost a shot in the foot. And so the psychological war advances, step by step.
I only know Ghalibaf and Araghchi through the roles they are playing in this crisis, and I know that Ghalibaf has strong historical ties to the IRGC.
It is exactly at this point that I want to arrive.
When we study the history of political relations in times of war, we see a clear pattern: no matter how much influence or loyalty someone has, the moment that person becomes a negotiator, starts having direct contact with the enemy, and their actions begin to appear, even minimally, favorable to the other side, distrust sets in quickly.
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posted by Satish Sharma at
13:24
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