I can't think of another U.S. war that's been such an obvious strategic disaster so quickly: normally it takes them a couple of years...

 https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/2032298886572695812

Arnaud Bertrand

@RnaudBertrand

So very concretely the outcome of the war so far is that Iran controls the world's most critical energy chokepoint, and Russia can now sell their own oil freely and at a premium. I can't think of another U.S. war that's been such an obvious strategic disaster so quickly: normally it takes them a couple of years...

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Polymarket

@Polymarket

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4h

BREAKING: U.S. Treasury will officially authorize sale of crude oil from Russia, bypassing sanctions.

2:33 PM · Mar 13, 2026

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25.7K

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https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/2032298886572695812