SATISH SHARMA - not just Rotigraphy.: There is no path forward with Iran other than negotiation. Israel

https://x.com/pati_marins64/status/2026008320222572985

Patricia Marins

Iran has become a technological powerhouse in various fields, and a conflict would take on regional dimensions. The best solution would be to propose openness, integration, and maturity. Iran has long-standing differences with its neighbors. Recently, these relations have improved, but the moment an Iranian missile, whether due to jamming, spoofing, or a fabricated incident, misses a U.S. military base and strikes a village in one of those countries, local public opinion and U.S. pressure will change everything. I would say the conflict has a high potential to draw in other countries. Only in that scenario do I see a chance for the United States to win an asymmetric war at sea in this region. But if that happens, we would face an oil and gas price crisis unlike anything seen in a very long time. There is no path forward with Iran other than negotiation. Israel bombed Iranian nuclear facilities for days, and in the end, the United States dropped the GBU-57, the most powerful weapon in its arsenal. Judging by the absence of the characteristic smoke plumes, none of this was able to compromise the nuclear program. These renewed threats are proof of that. All of those facilities were built on the North Korean model and protected with ultra-high-performance concrete, four to five times stronger than conventional concrete. University tests have shown that this concrete reduces the penetration capacity of those bombs from 60 meters to less than 3 meters. Regime change has already been ruled out by the Americans. There is neither an insurgency contingent nor sufficient heavy weaponry for it. If neither of these two objectives can be achieved, what is the purpose of an attack? The West needs to acknowledge Iran’s technological advances over the past three decades. Which Western nation possesses hypersonic missiles with short, medium, and intermediate-range capabilities? Not even the United States does, yet Iran has them with fully domestic technology. Iran also belongs to the select group of nations capable of manufacturing their own satellites and placing them into orbit using indigenous launch vehicles. However, Iranian technology goes far beyond the field of missiles and satellites. Iran possesses one of the most vertically integrated automotive supply chains in the world. The country does not merely assemble vehicles; it designs and manufactures the majority of their critical components. In the medical field, Behyar Sanat Sepahan produces linear accelerators for cancer treatment, a technology mastered by very few nations. Furthermore, Iran is self-sufficient in the production of dialysis machines and filters, exporting them to neighboring countries through the Medisa Consortium. Regarding surgical robotics, they developed the Sina robot, a remote surgery system similar to the American Da Vinci. In terms of life support, companies like Pooyandegan-e-Raho Saadat manufacture ICU ventilators and vital sign monitors exported to over 40 countries. They also produce the entire ecosystem of bedside monitors and sensors for coronary and intensive care units. The country produces about 97% of the medicines it consumes, including complex biosimilars for cancer and multiple sclerosis through giants like the Barkat Group. Iran has made significant strides over the last decades, proving that, for some nations, sanctions can become a primary driver of self-reliance. It is essential to negotiate with Iran and initiate a long-term project of rapprochement and opening, similar to the West’s historical approach to Turkey. However, the country must also take accountability and mature politically. War is the worst possible path; the United States has never engaged in an armed conflict against a nation of Iran's scale and technological sophistication. Such a confrontation would lead to a protracted war with heavy casualties, potentially destabilizing the entire region and dragging in neighboring countries.

5:56 AM · Feb 24, 2026