A Miscalculated Strike: The American-Israeli Gamble toward Iran
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A Miscalculated Strike: The American-Israeli Gamble toward Iran
After a year of significant strategic gains in the Middle East, the United States and Israel appeared to be riding high.
The Axis of Resistance was reeling especially with the fall of the previous Syrian regime and the installation of a new, American-aligned takfiri proxy government in Damascus.
Emboldened by these victories, Washington and Tel Aviv took a bold step: a direct attack on Iran. But this proved to be a grave miscalculation.
Instead of collapsing under pressure, Iran responded with a level of force and coordination that shocked both American and Israeli intelligence.
It became clear that Tehran had anticipated such a move and had spent years preparing a calibrated, asymmetric response capable of disrupting even the most advanced Western plans.
The Shock of Retaliation: Iran’s Unexpected Response
The Iranian response not only shattered the illusion of Israeli-American military superiority, but also forced both powers to rethink their strategy.
What was expected to be a limited show of force turned into a strategic blunder rekindling regional solidarity among resistance factions and exposing vulnerabilities in U.S.-Israeli deterrence.
For the first time in years, Tel Aviv and Washington had to reassess the cost of escalation.
It was no longer just about missiles or nuclear enrichment; it was about the survival of their long-term regional agenda.
The Return to the Original Plan: Boots on the Ground and Control of the Levant
Recognizing that airstrikes alone will not destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities, missile program, or topple the regime, U.S. and Israeli planners know what must come next: boots on the ground inside Iran. But such a campaign cannot be launched without securing the surrounding geography.
To make this possible, control over the Levant becomes non-negotiable. Israel’s “David Corridor” project which would give it a direct land bridge stretching from the Mediterranean to Iraq is now more critical than ever.
The plan depends on fully destabilizing Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq. The aim is not just to weaken Iran’s allies, but to create forward-operating bases and supply lines that can be used in a broader war against Iran.
Encircling Iran: The Broader Strategic Objective
For Washington and Tel Aviv, the ultimate goal is to isolate Iran from its regional partners and encircle it militarily.
The plan involves transforming Iraq especially the Kurdish region into a launchpad, leveraging Azerbaijan in the north as a strategic foothold, fragmenting Syria into sectarian enclaves, and pushing Lebanon into civil collapse.
To execute this plan, they have cultivated the ideal takfiri proxy force ruthless, ideologically driven, and easily deployable across collapsing frontlines.
Through this, they aim to surround Iran with hostile zones and eliminate its ability to project influence beyond its borders.
But this strategy is not without serious risks.
The more they destabilize the region, the more unpredictable the consequences become. In their pursuit of full-spectrum dominance, the U.S. and Israel may be igniting the kind of uncontrollable regional war that could backfire on their own interests.
The Middle East today resembles a high stakes chessboard every move reshapes the landscape, and each side is patiently waiting for the other to slip, ready to deliver the checkmate.
posted by Satish Sharma at
10:30
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