Friday, 27 June 2025

This is a maximalist framework: it seeks not merely security but the ideological consolidation of Israeli hegemony within a U.S.-backed regional bloc.

 https://x.com/MENAUnleashed/status/1938124248301605074

4. Abraham Alliance: Expedite formal normalisation with Saudi Arabia and consolidate a wider regional coalition, including Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, the UAE, and Bahrain. Institutionalise military coordination and develop a joint trade zone to entrench mutual dependency. 5. Blockade against Iran: Launch an all-front containment campaign encompassing economic sanctions, regional military deterrence, and cyber-technical isolation of Iran’s nuclear and industrial base. 6. Palestinian separation: Over a decade, enforce full demilitarisation and governance reform, preparing the Palestinian Authority for integration into the Abraham Alliance under Israeli and Arab oversight. This is a maximalist framework: it seeks not merely security but the ideological consolidation of Israeli hegemony within a U.S.-backed regional bloc. The billboard’s imagery is designed to naturalise this vision, suggesting inevitability through visual cohesion. However, Washington’s strategic response to the June 2025 strike reveals a parallel, less aggressive posture. The decision to allow Chinese refineries to resume Iranian oil imports represents a recalibrated approach. First, it acknowledges that Iran remains intact and strategically adaptive. Despite the damage inflicted, Tehran’s retaliatory capabilities, regional proxy networks, and integration into BRICS render total isolation untenable. Second, this move aims to delay Iran’s nuclear reconstitution without formal agreement—leveraging economic relief as informal deterrence. Third, it is intended to fragment Iran’s strategic partnership with Beijing, dangling liquidity as a wedge against deeper Sino-Iranian alignment. Fourth, it reflects Gulf Arab preferences. States like the UAE, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia have no appetite for direct confrontation with Iran that might endanger infrastructure or energy markets. The U.S. shift towards stabilisation aligns more closely with their economic priorities than the Coalition’s vision of confrontation. Fifth, it serves as reputational damage control. After years of sanctions, sabotage, and assassination campaigns, this partial concession allows the U.S. to reopen limited channels with Iran—should future diplomacy become necessary. Finally, this recalibration is essential to preserving the infrastructure underpinning the Abraham Accords. The India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor—envisaged as a counterweight to China’s Belt and Road—requires regional calm. Iranian disruption of Gulf shipping lanes or Levantine air corridors would render this ambition unworkable. Thus, de-escalation is not strategic softness but infrastructural defence.

https://x.com/MENAUnleashed/status/1938124248301605074

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