I'm raising my probability estimate for a US-Iran war to above 90% again, and it may happen very soon.
https://x.com/alon_mizrahi/status/1924163427108294701
I'm raising my probability estimate for a US-Iran war to above 90% again, and it may happen very soon. Something very meaningful happened in the last 10 days or so. It looks to me like Trump was given the impression that he was free to sign a deal with Iran, but then, all at once, around the Gulf Circus, someone stepped in and made it clear to Trump that no deal must be signed, period.
The US is now back to the 'no enrichment' line, which is a non-starter for Iran, as the whole world knows. Iran has made it clear all along.
It is frighteningly obvious that the Trump White House is completely run by Israel and the Jewish lobby, and that they are taking Americans to a historic disaster in a war with Iran that will destroy the Middle East, wreck world economy, make an end to Israel and send the US into a spiraling social and economic crises of unimaginable proportions.
Iranian voices are beginning to reflect this understanding: namely, that the country they built is about to be pummeled - maybe using atomic weapons as well.
The chances for a US-Iran deal are virtually nonexistent at this stage, and I suspect that the last Israeli extermination push in Gaza was partially made to pressure the Trump administration on Iran.
Israel is ending the world as we knew it.
posted by Satish Sharma at
05:51
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