He cannot recognize a Palestinian state. He cannot lead Israel in 'peace time' and deal with the aftermath of what he's caused. He cannot take over the US more than he already has.
https://x.com/alon_mizrahi/status/1928156174383239563
Netanyahu has no choice but to bomb Iran. There's nothing else he can or feels compelled to do.
He can keep the genocide going, but the pressure is mounting.
He can keep trying to push for wide ethnic cleansing, but no country agrees to be complicit in this, and the pressure will be enormous. It will be Israel's diplomatic destruction.
He can stop the genocide, but then he will be seen as a loser, and the focus will shift to the West Bank, where Israel loses badly and is already the villain in international diplomacy (no European country will recognize Israel's annexation or settlements. They never have and never will).
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He cannot negotiate with Palestinians directly.
He cannot recognize a Palestinian state.
He cannot lead Israel in 'peace time' and deal with the aftermath of what he's caused.
He cannot take over the US more than he already has.
He cannot strengthen his hold over Europe. There is actual resistance there.
Most importantly, he cannot keep Israel in the public image as a victim that has to have constant help without fighting a real enemy in a real war. He cannot enjoy the rush of feeling important and serious unless a catastrophe is happening, and everybody waits to hear what he has to say.
If he doesn't bomb Iran, the adrenaline rush (caused by controlled danger mitigated by the West's servility and endless flattery) will be over with no substitute in sight.
If he doesn't bomb Iran, all he has to do for the rest of his political life is handle influence and coercion around the world to shut up the discussion about Israel's crimes. Not very exciting.
But if he does attack Iran, all of his and Israel's previous sins will be forgotten immediately. The US will rush to help, and the UK and other European countries will too.
No talk of genocide, no mention of settlements anymore; only Israel as the poor victim, and the Judeocentric urgency he and his camp live for. That's ideal.
His whole life led to this moment, where he will have to choose between the Israel of his imagination and fantasies (that the Christian Zionists share), and the real Israel that will be wracked under Iran's counteroffensive.
Everything I know about him tells me he will choose fantasy.
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If he chooses not to attack, then he has lost everything, and his life means nothing. What has he achieved in 50 years of working tirelessly to promote his deranged vision? What does he have to show for it, except the destruction of both Israel and the US?
This is the moment he prepared his whole life for, and the odds were never as much in his favor as it is now.
I have little doubt that he will choose himself and fantasy, and, counting on American and British help, he will order a strike against Iran.
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You can see the crackdown on 'antisemitism' in the US as preparation to preemptively block any chance of a major anti-war protest wave. If such a wave begins, it will be framed as the ultimate proof of deep and dangerous antisemitism in the US, and will be treated accordingly. Look at Rubio's face and know America's future.
posted by Satish Sharma at
04:56
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