Monday, 21 April 2025

A Comprehensive and Insightful Examination of the Geopolitical and Geostrategic Landscape

 https://x.com/EdHHanna/status/1908954755033874858

🧵 UPDATED — April 6th: A Comprehensive and Insightful Examination of the Geopolitical and Geostrategic Landscape SECTION 1/10: The U.S. Corporate State Paradox and Its Structural Failures For the sake of argument, suppose that the United States government, more than any other Western state, primarily serves corporations, financial institutions, and the most privileged and wealthiest elites within its society. From this perspective, the U.S. government immediately encounters several fundamentally existential challenges that threaten its ability to maintain such a state-corporate arrangement serving the interests of these entities and individuals effectively, including: (1) A Withering Monetary System: First, the U.S. monetary system — structured around the U.S. Federal Reserve Dollar hegemony — relies entirely on unchallenged global dominance across economic, military, and financial spheres to maintain the Dollar's "reserve currency" status. This privileged monetary status has enabled unrestrained Federal Reserve currency creation for over three-quarters of a century — since 1945, but the system's fragility is now exposed through accelerating de-dollarization trends, as BRICS expansion, bilateral trade agreements bypassing the Dollar financial controls, and gold-backed commodity trading have recently been dismantling the Dollar's monopoly. The illusion of infinite liquidity is now colliding with the reality that currency hegemony requires perpetual imperial control — a control the U.S. is evidently losing, now at an increasingly accelerated rate. (2) An Overstretched Military: Second, the U.S. military — particularly its Navy and Air Force — demonstrates seemingly irreversible overextension and technological stagnation. The Navy’s once-uncontested blue-water dominance erodes as maintenance backlogs of aging carrier groups plague surface fleets, coupled with unsustainable procurement costs (the $13 billion Ford-class carriers being a prime example), unsustainable global patrol commitments, and personnel recruitment and retention crises across all branches. This decline coincides with China’s innovative naval expansion, Russia’s asymmetric maritime strategies, and Iran's missile, drone, and carrier technology innovation, leaving the U.S. unable to credibly or effectively enforce its dominance across multiple theaters. (3) Unsustainable National Debt: Third, the growth of the U.S. national debt has reached terminal velocity. With the debt exceeding $36.6 trillion (104% of GDP) and annual interest payments surpassing $1 trillion — now eclipsing the entire defense budget — the U.S. faces an undeniable mathematical impossibility of fiscal sustainability. This predicament compounded by chronic trade deficits, long-diminished domestic production capacity, and entrenched inflation (resistant to government and Federal Reserve interventions over the last 5 years) completes the doom loop. These are not isolated/discrete challenges but interconnected symptoms of imperial overreach: the Federal Reserve Dollar’s dominance enables the funding of military adventurism, which destabilizes global trade, leading to accelerated de-dollarization, which in turn provokes more aggressive military posturing. That is simply a self-reinforcing death spiral. That is precisely why the U.S. economy crashed, bringing down the world economy along with it eleven times, on average every 7 years, since 1945: (1) 1945 & 1948-1949: Post-World War II Recession (2) 1953-1954: Post-Korean War Recession (3) 1957-1958: Post Suez Crisis Recession (4) 1960-1961: Double-Dip Recession (5) 1969-1970: Post-ME War & Vietnam War Recession (6) 1973-1975: Egypt-Israel War Recession (7) 1980-1982: Post OPEC Oil Embargo Recession (8) 1990-1991: Gulf War Recession (9) 2001: Dot-Com Recession (10) 2007-2009: Afghanistan-Iraq Wars Recession (11) 2020-Present: COVID-19 Pandemic Recession
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Ed H. Hanna
@EdHHanna
🧵 REFINED April 4th: An Insightful Analysis of the Geopolitical and Geostrategic Landscape SECTION 1: The U.S. Corporate State Paradox and Its Structural Failures For the sake of argument, suppose that the United States, more than any other Western government, primarily x.com/EdHHanna/statu…
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https://x.com/EdHHanna/status/1908954755033874858

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