Friday, 22 December 2023

Gilad Atzmon writes

 Gilad Atzmon writes [ https://t.me/giladatzmon/1318 ]

Dissecting Israeli Media:

Israeli media seems frustrated and depressed. It swings constantly between mania and melancholia. Every morning the Israeli defence commentators ask how is it possible that we heard yesterday from the IDF’s spokesperson that some specific parts of northern Gaza are now under full Israeli control, then a few hours later we learn that a score of IDF soldiers lost their lives there and a few others are severely wounded?

Addressing this exact question, an Israeli decorated veteran general came a few hours ago with an answer that sounds almost comical to my ears. ”The IDF fully controls the ground,” he said, “but unfortunately the Hamas controls the underground.” The practical meaning of the above is that Israel is winning in the accumulation of war crimes. It flattens street after street, killing women and children. The Hamas is doing the fighting. It has managed to lure the IDF into a guerrilla urban theater. For the IDF like any other organised army this is a fatal disaster.

But the Hamas is just one of Israel’s acute problems. In the north the Hezbollah shows no fear and even less mercy. It retaliates to every Israeli act making it clear to Israel that the Arabs do not believe that the IDF is the 'strongest army in the world.'

Yet, I actually believe that the most crucial development at the moment is taking place in Yemen.

The Houthies have managed to impose a naval siege on Israel but also on Europe. The world’s leading shipping companies have decided to avoid the Red Sea. Egypt is about to suffer some major financial losses on the Suez Canal but Europe will see some dramatic rise in prices of commodities from the east.

Benjamin Netanyahu has been in office for a very long time. He knows what that means for Israel. He grasps that Europe may decide not to commit a suicide for Israel or America. They tried this type of collective attempt for Zelensky, it didn’t work well. Netanyahu grasps that in order to be ahead of the curve, he needs to bring the war into a conclusion before the pressure on Israel becomes a tsunami.

The only way Netanyahu can push for a closure of the current war is within the context of an extended ceasefire that is linked to a POW/hostage exchange. But there is a problem. The Hamas knows exactly where Israel is, the Hamas knows how badly Israel is doing on the battlefield, it can see how stretched the IDF is, Hamas knows that Israel is struggling in the north. The Hamas is not going to let Bibi off the hook. Apparently, the Hamas just rejected an Israeli call for a ceasefire. It demands a complete stop of the war. It will insist on a complete release of all detained Palestinians in Israeli prisons. It will demand the lift of the siege and a green light for a merchant naval port and an air ports in Gaza. It may also demand to move towards a final solution of the conflict, probably within the framework of Two State Solution.

Netanyahu with his right wing government won’t be able to accept any of it. In fact there is no one in Israel politics that is brave enough to accept these reasonable demands.

In short, we are going to see

 

Let's be clear: if the zionazi pseudostate had been winning, the blood soaked mass murdering war criminal Nazinyahu would not be grunting for a 7 day ceasefire.

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